Japan's METI granted a $3 billion CfD subsidy to ACME-IHI for 228,000 t/y green ammonia exports from India starting 2030. The program reduces price risk for producers and secures offtake by Japanese users, encouraging low-carbon ammonia production and likely stabilizing green ammonia prices in the long run.
Asia
During the third quarter of 2025, ammonium nitrite prices in Asia, especially in China, generally fell. Production increased as plants resumed operations after maintenance, causing supply to grow faster than demand. Since agricultural and industrial activities were slow due to seasonal breaks, buying interest remained low. This imbalance between supply and demand led to a decline in prices overall.
There was a brief period when prices rose slightly because some factories paused for maintenance, tightening supply for a short time. Still, this effect was temporary, and by the end of the quarter, prices dipped again as stocks piled up and customer purchases stayed weak.
Europe
In Europe, prices of ammonium nitrite were more unpredictable. A key Russian manufacturing plant suffered damage from an attack, disrupting supplies and creating uncertainty in the market. This event, combined with existing trade restrictions against Russia, caused supply shortages that pushed prices higher for a short time.
Buyers became cautious due to fears about availability, leading to some price fluctuations. Despite these disruptions, overall demand was not strong enough to keep prices steadily high, so the market showed mixed signals with both rises and falls throughout the quarter.
North America
In North America, ammonium nitrite prices remained fairly stable but showed a slight tendency to drop. Production stayed consistent with no major interruptions, and demand from farms and factories remained moderate but not growing. Because supply matched demand closely, prices did not change dramatically. Market participants were careful, keeping a close eye on global developments and the costs of raw materials. This cautious approach helped keep price movements limited and steady.
Analyst Insight
According to Procurement Resource, prices for Ammonium Nitrite are likely to stay somewhat unstable in the coming months, influenced by supply changes and international political factors.
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Asia
In the first half of 2025, ammonium nitrite prices in Asia saw a mild upward movement. This was mainly driven by increased agricultural activity, especially during the planting seasons for rice and cotton.
Even though the costs of raw materials like ammonia and nitric acid fell, strong seasonal demand helped support prices. Buying activity picked up after the Lunar New Year holidays as logistics improved and regional supplies became more accessible. While cost indicators showed some weakness, steady demand from the farming sector helped maintain a firm market tone.
Europe
The European market experienced considerable instability during H1’25. Prices spiked at times due to supply disruptions, particularly following a Ukrainian drone strike on a major Russian production facility. Ongoing sanctions against Russian exports further reduced the availability of key fertilizers in the region.
On top of this, high energy and environmental compliance costs forced some European producers to cut or stop production, tightening local supply. Despite the drop in raw material costs, supply shortages and uncertainty kept the market firm and sentiment cautious.
North America
In North America, the ammonium nitrite market remained mostly stable throughout the first half of the year. The region benefitted from strong domestic production and steady supply conditions. The U.S. maintained consistent usage patterns for nitrogen-based fertilizers, with only minor interruptions in production. Imports helped fill any short-term gaps when needed, keeping the market balanced. There were no significant demand surges or supply issues, which allowed prices to stay soft and predictable during this period.
Analyst Insight
According to Procurement Resource, Ammonium Nitrite prices are likely to remain unstable worldwide due to uncertain demand, potential oversupply, and ongoing geopolitical tensions that may affect production and trade flows.
Ammonium nitrite is a crystalline white solid that is extremely susceptible to heat, shock, and friction. As a result, it is unstable by nature and prone to breaking down, which can result in explosive reactions. Ammonium nitrite is not frequently utilized in industrial applications because of these safety risks.
NH4NO2
Fertilizers, Explosives
Eurochem Group AG, OSTCHEM Holding, Enaex SA, Neochim PLC, Incitec Pivot Limited, URALCHEM Holding PLC
CurrencyUS$ (Data can also be provided in local currency)
Supplier Database AvailabilityYes
Customization ScopeThe report can be customized as per the requirements of the customer
Post-Sale Analyst Support360-degree analyst support after report delivery
Note: Our supplier search experts can assist your procurement teams in compiling and validating a list of suppliers indicating they have products, services, and capabilities that meet your company's needs.
In the presence of oxidizing agents such as ozone and hydrogen peroxide, ammonia gets oxidized to give ammonium nitrite as the end product.
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