- Globally, bio-based PET sentiment strengthened during Q1’26 as energy market disruptions lifted polyester-chain costs and tightened supply conditions across Asia.
- Feedstock costs surged as crude oil volatility linked to the Iran conflict and Strait of Hormuz disruptions pushed PX, PTA, and MEG values higher. Crude benchmarks recorded weekly gains exceeding ~35%, rapidly increasing production costs across the PET value chain.
- Downstream demand improved through beverage packaging, seasonal restocking, and export-oriented consumption. Stronger regional trade activity and tighter producer inventories supported buying interest despite resistance at elevated levels.
Bio-based PET prices in Asia moved upward during Q1’26, primarily driven by rising feedstock costs and tightening supply fundamentals. The market remained relatively balanced during the early part of the quarter before accelerating sharply in March as crude oil volatility intensified following disruptions affecting Strait of Hormuz trade flows. Higher PX, PTA, and MEG costs significantly increased production expenses throughout the polyester chain, while some producers reduced operating rates to around 69-70%, limiting material availability. Inventory levels remained low at only 7-8 days, further supporting the upward trend. Downstream demand from beverage packaging and consumer goods improved during the traditional peak season, while export activity provided additional support. By the end of the quarter, market momentum strengthened further as weekly gains in the PET chain approached ~30%, although buying activity moderated toward the end of the quarter as consumers adjusted purchasing volumes in response to rapid increases.
Analyst Insight
According to Procurement Resource, Bio-based PET prices in Asia are expected to remain firm in the near term, supported by feedstock uncertainty and relatively tight inventories.