- Cobalt hydroxide markets remained tight across major regions in Q1’26 as restricted intermediate shipments from the DRC limited availability and supported firm market sentiment.
- Feedstock pressure was driven by constrained cobalt hydroxide exports, delayed shipments, and higher logistics costs linked to geopolitical disruptions.
- Downstream demand was mixed, with battery manufacturers maintaining cautious procurement as EV sales softened and cobalt-light chemistries limited stronger buying.
Asia
In Asia, the cobalt hydroxide market remained under pressure, particularly in China, the main refining hub. Imports of cobalt hydrometallurgical intermediates in March 2026 dropped sharply year-on-year by ~96.7% and fell ~25.9% month-on-month, with total volumes just over 1,690 tons, equivalent to 507 tons of cobalt content at 30% grade. The delayed shipments and administrative export controls from the DRC kept spot availability restricted, and Chinese refiners managed operations with lower inventories. The constrained supply maintained firm market interest, despite cautious purchasing by downstream processors.
Europe
European cobalt hydroxide markets faced similar supply-driven pressures. The DRC accounted for more than ~70% of global mined cobalt, so restricted exports directly affected refined cobalt flows into European refining centers. Inventory levels remained low, and downstream demand from battery manufacturers did not fully offset supply constraints. Logistics and energy costs rose due to geopolitical tensions and shipping disruptions, keeping operational and procurement challenges elevated.
North America
North American markets were influenced by constrained inbound shipments and inventory management. EV battery demand was moderate, with global sales in Q1’26 totaling ~4.0 million units, down ~3% from the prior year, while March sales reached ~1.75 million units. These figures show that supply tightness, not downstream demand, was the main driver of market conditions in the region. Producers focused on optimizing limited stocks and managing production schedules amid upstream uncertainty.
Analyst Insight
According to Procurement Resource, Cobalt hydroxide markets may firm in the near term if DRC export controls continue to slow shipments. Any normalization in export approvals could ease supply pressure later.