Frozen Chicken Price Trend and Forecast

Frozen Chicken Regional Price Overview

Get the latest insights on price movement and trend analysis of Frozen Chicken in different regions across the world (Asia, Europe, North America, Latin America, and the Middle East & Africa).

Frozen Chicken Price Trend for the First Half of 2025

In the first half of 2025, frozen chicken prices saw a steady rise in Mexico due to the continued impact of avian influenza in the United States. The bird flu outbreak, which had begun in 2022, forced U.S. farmers to cull millions of chickens, disrupting poultry supply chains. Since Mexico relies heavily on poultry imports from the U.S., this shortage quickly pushed up prices across Mexican markets. The limited supply, coupled with strong local demand, especially from low- to middle-income households where chicken is a staple, added pressure on prices.
 

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Retailers and distributors in Mexico faced increased costs, which were passed down to consumers. In some regions, this led to noticeable shifts in buying habits, with families cutting back on chicken purchases or seeking alternatives. Additionally, egg prices also climbed, further limiting affordable protein options. While other factors like seasonality and weather also played a role, the primary driver remained the supply shock from the U.S.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, Frozen Chicken prices are expected to remain high in the near term unless the bird flu situation stabilizes and U.S. poultry exports recover. Import diversification and local production support may help ease pressure later in the year.
 

Frozen Chicken Price Trend for the Year 2024

In 2024, global frozen chicken prices showed signs of stability after two years of sharp increases. The year began with relatively high prices, but several factors helped cool the market as months passed. A major contributor was the decline in feed costs, which had previously driven production expenses up. With more affordable feed, producers managed to improve supply without raising prices further.

Disease control also improved in key producing countries, reducing the number of disruptions seen in previous years. This led to better production flow and more consistent exports, especially from major suppliers like Brazil and the U.S. Although there were occasional interruptions, such as temporary trade suspensions due to isolated disease cases, markets adjusted quickly and avoided long-lasting impacts.

Consumer demand varied by region. In some countries, seasonal and cultural shifts—such as religious fasting periods—temporarily reduced meat consumption, which helped ease price pressure. In others, particularly lower-income nations, frozen chicken remained a critical protein source, keeping baseline demand steady.

By the end of 2024, frozen chicken prices globally had largely stabilized. Supply and demand were more balanced, and market conditions were far less volatile than in recent years.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, Frozen Chicken prices are expected to rise gradually, but remain manageable, as long as feed costs stay stable and disease outbreaks are kept under control.
 

Frozen Chicken Price Trend for the Second Half of 2023

In the second half of 2023, frozen chicken prices showed a clear upward trend globally. In the U.S., producers cut back on chick placements and reduced bird weights to manage oversupply and boost profitability. This shift in production strategy helped rebalance the market after a surplus in late 2022, which had previously driven prices down. As a result, wholesale prices began to rebound, supported by lower feed costs and steady domestic demand. Chicken prices at retail level also rose, especially for whole birds and drumsticks.

In Malaysia, frozen chicken prices moved more freely after the government announced the removal of price ceilings. While this led to an initial increase, prices largely stayed within a stable range due to ongoing global supply constraints and competitive import options. Meanwhile, in South Africa, frozen chicken prices surged sharply as the country faced its worst bird flu outbreak, which forced the culling of millions of birds. The resulting supply shortage coincided with anti-dumping duties and high production costs, adding further pressure to prices.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, Frozen Chicken prices are likely to remain firm in early 2024, supported by recovering global demand and continued supply challenges in key markets like South Africa.
 

Frozen Chicken Price Trend for the First Half of 2023

The price trend of frozen chicken in the first and second quarters of 2023 was highly affected by global inflation in the prices of food materials. In the US, the rise in the cost of food materials was in double digits as the high cost of labor, adverse effects of the Russia-Ukraine war and weak export rates hampered the growth of frozen chicken prices.

The Russia-Ukraine war depleted the market of several food products and also disrupted the efficiency of global supply chains. After the ease of COVID restrictions, the US food market has shown slow recovery rates, which has affected the overall market sentiments of frozen chicken. In addition to this, the cost of labor in the region has also skyrocketed, increasing the cost of production and further posing a problem for the frozen chicken traders.

The trend of frozen chicken prices was the same in Egypt as it was seen in the US. The market of frozen chicken here was adversely affected by the influx of imports from Brazil, which raised the level of inventories to an alarming level. Due to the rise in stockpiles, the traders had to sell frozen chicken at reduced rates, leading to a decline in the prices of frozen chicken.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, the price of Frozen Chicken is expected to fluctuate in the upcoming months as the rates of inflation and supply disruptions caused by the Russia- Ukraine war will influence the frozen chicken prices negatively.

Procurement Resource provides latest prices of Frozen Chicken. Each price database is tied to a user-friendly graphing tool dating back to 2014, which provides a range of functionalities: configuration of price series over user defined time period; comparison of product movements across countries; customisation of price currencies and unit; extraction of price data as excel files to be used offline.