Isobutene Price Trend and Forecast

Regional Price Overview

Get the latest insights on price movement and trend analysis of Isobutene in different regions across the world (Asia, Europe, North America, Latin America, and the Middle East & Africa).

Isobutene Price Trend for the Second Half of 2023

Asia

The Isobutene market observed a strong trajectory during the second half of the year 2023. The price curve, however, was slightly more inclined in the third quarter, and the market performance by large was positive.

Isobutene Price Trends

The third quarter was marginally supportive for most of the petrochemicals and allied products since OPEC+ decided to monitor the oil outflow in the global markets. However, the fourth quarter saw some dip in prices, particularly in the Chinese market as the upstream costs started reducing. In the Indian Isobutene market, the monthly average prices went from about 1530 USD/MT in July’23 to about 1620 USD/MT in December’23, registering an overall growth of about 5% at the isobutene price index.

Europe

Isobutene prices in the European market were observed to be varying for both Q3 and Q4 of 2023. The market started to firm at the beginning of the third quarter. The demands from the fuel additive industries were high and pushed the price graph up. However, as the fourth quarter began, the prices started to depreciate despite the domestic consumption remaining steady. The fluctuations in the crude oil markets were reflected in the isobutene price trend as well. Overall, a largely oscillating trend was observed.

North America

The North American market trend for isobutene showed a very close resemblance with the European price curve of Isobutene. The prices started strong at the beginning of the third quarter here as well. The demands were regular and steady throughout the said period. However, the supplies were a little tight during the third quarter. This situation reversed later on in the later months of the final quarter. When the supplies started exceeding demand, the price trend also started dropping in the fourth quarter.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, after dipping in the global markets in the last quarter, the Isobutene prices will strive for stabilization going forward. Immediate changes are not anticipated; however, market appreciation is very likely after some time.

Isobutene Price Trend for the First Half of 2023

Asia

Isobutene observed mixed price trends during the first half of the year 2023. The Chinese industries were trying to revive after a standstill brought by the Covid 19 lockdown. So, with a rise in industrial and economic activities, demands also increased for isobutene from the downstream polymer, chemical, resin, fuel, etc. industries. This led to an inclination in prices from the beginning of the first quarter.

These rising trends continued till the middle of the second quarter, and the market witnessed a good period of growth. However, the demands stabilized after a certain point, and the supplies started piling up in inventories; this led to a shift in market momentum as suppliers started discounting the prices to maintain the stock movement. A slight depreciation in the market trends was witnessed in the latter half of the second quarter.

Europe

Following in the Asian footsteps, the Isobutene prices fluctuated in the European markets, too. After a rapid rise with high demands in the first quarter, prices subsided in the second. Reduction in the upstream costs with stabilization in crude oil prices was the biggest reason behind falling trends. Overall, mixed market sentiments were observed for isobutene in H1’23.

North America

The North American Isobutene market followed its Asian and European counterparts as the prices rose for the majority of the first quarter after declining in the second. However, the market sentiments were relatively muted here because a rise in interest rates after the collapse of two major US banks proved detrimental to industrial operations.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, the Isobutene price trends will likely be affected by the uncertain downstream demands and will fluctuate further in the upcoming months.

Isobutene Price Trend for the Second Half of 2022

Asia

Isobutene price trend in the second half of 2022 showed very oscillating patterns. Asian markets witnessed highs and lows but remained stable and afloat for most of the second half of 2022. Q3 had more fluctuations with highs pertaining to occasional high demands and rises in energy prices, hiking the production costs.

Whereas lows were concerned with easy feedstock availability. Isobutene price trend in Q4 however, were more plateaued compared to Q3 as downstream demands stayed sluggish, covid restrictions in the Chinese market curtailed the production capacities. Overall trend remained adrift.

Europe

The effects and consequences of the global economic slowdown can very clearly be observed in the EU. High inflation affected the production costs in almost all industrial sectors and the hike in energy prices due to hampered energy supplies because of the Russia – Ukraine conflict worsened the situation. Even though cheap imports from Asian markets aided the situation a little bit, the constant sullen demand patterns couldn’t help the domestic market much. Isobutene prices for the European market stayed slow and wavered.

North America

H2 2022 in North America showed a varied, hybrid trend for Isobutene prices. Market demand determined the downing price trend, feedstock prices, and supply chain hindrances that drove the production costs. As the global economic slowdown affected the industrial manufacturing sector. And year-end is accompanied by the holiday season which also accounts for low industrial activities. Overall, the isobutene price trend remained afloat.

Analyst insight

According to Procurement Resource, the isobutene market trend will seemingly remain fluctuating. As global GDP suffers, the manufacturing sector is slowing down. The probability of the Isobutene market regaining momentum seems wavered.

Isobutene Price Trend For the First Half of 2022

Asia

The price trend for isobutene showed an upward pattern in the Asia-Pacific region during the said period. The unprecedented market volatility owing to complex geopolitical realities coupled with the reemergence of covid-19 cases caused the manufacturers to raise their quotations for petrochemicals.

The price of isobutene averaged 1666 USD/MT Ex-Mumbai during the first quarter. These higher quotations were supported by the solid downstream demand from elastomers and the gasoline additives market. These higher prices continued in the second quarter despite the lowering of the crude oil prices because the factories started churning out products at much higher rates to meet the growing market demands.

Europe

The European region faced the direct consequences of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. The European embargo on Russian oil and western sanctions triggered an acute economic meltdown with repercussions felt worldwide. The high operating and sourcing costs caused the manufacturers to pass the higher prices on to the customers.

The price of isobutene settled at 1115 USD/MT during the first quarter of the said period. Despite the alarming costs, the prices remained afloat in the market owing to inflated freight charges, labour costs and strong market sentiments.

North America

The price trend for isobutene in the American domestic market closely mimicked the global outlook. The inflated costs, labour and transportation shortages, and supply constraints added to the high operating costs for isobutene. The demand for bio-based fuel additives further propelled the prices of isobutene.

Procurement Resource provides latest prices of Isobutene. Each price database is tied to a user-friendly graphing tool dating back to 2014, which provides a range of functionalities: configuration of price series over user defined time period; comparison of product movements across countries; customisation of price currencies and unit; extraction of price data as excel files to be used offline.

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About

Isobutene belonging to the class of alkenes, has a four-carbon branched chain. It is one of the four isomers of butene. Isobutene is a highly flammable, colorless gas with a gasoline-like smell. It is characterized as a health hazard as prolonged exposure may cause damage to the central nervous system, and some carcinogenic activity is also indicated. It is used in the production of high-octane gasoline fuel. It is shipped as a liquefied gas and coming in contact with it can cause frostbite.

Product Details

Report Features Details
Product Name Isobutene
HS CODE 29012990
CAS Number 115-11-7
Industrial Uses Polymers, Zeolite Catalysts, Antioxidants, Resins, Gasoline fuel
Chemical Formula C4H8
Synonyms 2-Methylprop-1-ene, 2-Methylpropene, Isobutylene, 2-Methylpropylene, Methylpropene
Molecular Weight 56.10 g/mol
Supplier Database BASF, Evonik, LyondellBasell Industries., Global Bioenergies, ExxonMobil
Region/Countries Covered Asia Pacific: China, India, Indonesia, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Japan, Philippines, Vietnam, Iran, Thailand, South Korea, Iraq, Saudi Arabia, Malaysia, Nepal, Taiwan, Sri Lanka, UAE, Israel, Hongkong, Singapore, Oman, Kuwait, Qatar, Australia, and New Zealand

Europe: Germany, France, United Kingdom, Italy,  Spain, Russia, Turkey, Netherlands, Poland, Sweden, Belgium, Austria, Ireland Switzerland, Norway, Denmark, Romania, Finland, Czech Republic, Portugal and Greece

North America: United States and Canada

Latin America: Brazil, Mexico, Argentina, Columbia, Chile, Ecuador, and Peru

Africa: South Africa, Nigeria, Egypt, Algeria, Morocco
Currency US$ (Data can also be provided in local currency)
Supplier Database Availability Yes
Customization Scope The report can be customized as per the requirements of  the customer
Post-Sale Analyst Support 360-degree analyst support after report delivery


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Production Processes

  • Production of Isobutene from Dehydrogenation Process; from Extraction Process

Isobutene is obtained by catalytic dehydrogenation of isobutane in the presence of a suitable catalyst. This being a highly endothermic and equilibrium-limited process requires relatively high temperature and low pressure to achieve a high yield of Isobutene.

Methodology

The displayed pricing data is derived through weighted average purchase price, including contract and spot transactions at the specified locations unless otherwise stated. The information provided comes from the compilation and processing of commercial data officially reported for each nation (i.e., government agencies, external trade bodies, and industry publications).

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