- Nickel sulfate prices showed a modest upward movement in Q1’26 across regions, supported by cost pressures despite weak battery demand and persistent global nickel oversupply.
- Rising sulphur and MHP costs, along with Indonesian ore constraints and supply chain risks linked to Gulf disruptions, tightened production economics.
- Demand from NMC batteries remained subdued due to increasing LFP adoption, limiting stronger price gains.
Nickel sulfate prices in Q1’26 reflected a cost-driven increase rather than demand strength, with US prices rising from ~4,629.7 USD/MT (CIF) in January to ~4,812.7 USD/MT in March, marking a ~3.95% increase, while remaining ~16.42% higher quarter-on-quarter. Upstream pressure came from constrained mixed hydroxide precipitate (MHP) supply and higher sulphur costs, as Indonesian HPAL producers faced feedstock risks due to reliance on Middle East sulphur flows, which were disrupted amid geopolitical tensions and Strait of Hormuz concerns. Trade exposure remained critical, with Indonesia sourcing a large share of sulphur imports from the Middle East, tightening availability and increasing processing costs. Downstream, weaker NMC cathode demand in China and global EV markets, alongside a structural shift toward LFP batteries, capped price momentum despite supply-side tightening. In Europe and North America, prices tracked import parity and elevated logistics costs rather than a strong consumption recovery.