- Global palm olein markets strengthened early in Q2’26 before correcting as improving supply, weaker import demand, and rising inventories outweighed biodiesel-related support.
- Feedstock conditions softened as Malaysian palm oil production recovered, although Indonesian export duties and stronger biodiesel commitments limited the extent of downward pressure.
- Downstream demand weakened as Asian buyers carried high vegetable-oil inventories, while substitution toward soybean and sunflower oils reduced fresh palm olein procurement.
Palm olein markets followed a firm-to-soft pattern during Q2’26, with gains through April and early May followed by a broader correction toward June. In India, palm oil imports fell 26.0% month on month to 513,403 MT in April, while soybean and sunflower oil imports increased sharply as buyers shifted toward competing oils when palm’s relative cost advantage narrowed. Malaysian supply conditions also became more comfortable as seasonal production recovered and inventories increased, while April exports weakened, raising regional availability. By May, palm regained some competitiveness against soybean oil, preventing a deeper decline. However, high vegetable-oil inventories in India and China reduced the urgency for additional purchases through June. Indonesian export duties and expectations surrounding the transition to B50 biodiesel from July provided underlying support by signaling stronger domestic palm consumption and potentially lower export availability. Overall, palm olein conditions softened late in the quarter as improved supply and cautious Asian buying outweighed policy-driven support.