Potassium Nitrate Price Trend and Forecast

Potassium Nitrate Regional Price Overview

Get the latest insights on price movement and trend analysis of Potassium Nitrate in different regions across the world (Asia, Europe, North America, Latin America, and the Middle East & Africa).

Potassium Nitrate Price Trend for the Q4 of 2024

Asia

During Q4 of 2024, the potassium nitrate market in Asia exhibited a fluctuating trend. As the peak planting season ended in key regions like India, demand declined in the early part of the quarter. This decline was further intensified by steady production levels, leading to an oversupply. The combination of cautious purchasing patterns and high supply levels exerted downward pressure on prices. Additionally, falling crude oil prices contributed to lower manufacturing costs, further weighing on the market.
 

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In the second half of the quarter, prices showed some improvement. Higher input costs and reduced production from manufacturers supported this recovery. However, agricultural demand remained subdued, though international demand provided some price stability.

Europe

The European potassium nitrate market experienced significant price fluctuations during the last quarter of 2024. At the beginning of the quarter, prices saw a slight increase, primarily driven by strong demand from the agricultural and industrial sectors, coupled with supply constraints that led to higher production costs. This short-lived price rise was supported by demand for agricultural products, particularly in greenhouse farming and horticulture, as well as industrial consumption in glassmaking and ceramics. As the quarter progressed, the market corrected as increased production capacities stabilized supply levels. However, seasonal changes in agricultural demand, along with adequate stock availability, led to a decline in prices amid the broader seasonal slowdown in industrial activity, particularly by December.

North America

In the North American region, potassium nitrate prices followed a fluctuating trajectory with an upward bias. The increase in agricultural demand, as farmers prepared for the upcoming planting season and replenished their fertilizer supplies, contributed to this trend. Agricultural activity expanded, and favorable crop conditions sustained demand momentum.

However, supply-side challenges, such as transportation delays, raw material shortages, and occasional production issues, led to temporary market tightening. Additionally, rising energy prices towards the end of the quarter escalated production costs, reducing profit margins for manufacturers. Despite these challenges, the agricultural sector remained the primary driver of the positive price trend throughout the quarter.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, the potassium nitrate price trend is expected to vary across regions in the upcoming quarter, driven primarily by seasonal fluctuations in fertilizer demand.
 

Potassium Nitrate Price Trend for the Q3 of 2024

Asia

Potassium nitrate is widely recognized for its various applications in fertilizers, food preservation, explosives, and glass, among others. In agriculture, it is a crucial fertilizer, providing essential nitrogen and potassium to promote healthy plant growth. As a key component in the fertilizer sector, agricultural consumption plays a significant role in shaping its market dynamics.

In the third quarter of 2024, its price trajectory remained closely linked to demand from the fertilizer and agrochemical industries. During the monsoon season, with many crops nearing harvest, demand for potassium nitrate increased. However, there was limited support from feedstock materials, such as potassium chloride and nitric acid. Additionally, the Indian government announced a substantial fertilizer subsidy, including for potassium fertilizers, ahead of the Rabi season to ensure affordable crop nutrients for farmers. This measure is expected to stabilize fertilizer prices in the market.

Europe

The European potassium nitrate market followed a trend similar to that of the Chinese market. The price of its feedstock, nitric acid, and potassium chloride remained stable, providing limited cost support. Prices were volatile, and fluctuating due to the interplay of demand and supply. Demand for potassium nitrate remained high from downstream industries. Additionally, Eurochem began commercial production of potassium nitrate (NOP) at its Nevinnomysskiy Azot facility in Russia, with a production target of 70,000 tonnes.

North America

Continuing the trend from the previous quarter, potassium nitrate prices showed notable volatility in this quarter as well. The fertilizer market, the primary consumer of ammonium nitrate, remains strongly influenced by seasonal cycles. Despite favorable planting conditions, demand has been restrained as consumers adopted a cautious wait-and-see approach, anticipating further price declines. As a result, decreasing costs of upstream materials, coupled with weaker downstream demand, led to lower prices, reflecting the challenges faced in the current market environment.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, the prices of potassium nitrate are expected to fluctuate in the coming months as the winter planting season approaches in the next quarter.
 

Potassium Nitrate Price Trend for the Q2 of 2024

Asia

Potassium nitrate (KNO3) possesses significant industrial importance due to its applications in fertilizers, food preservation, and pyrotechnics etc. sectors. Primarily, its applications in the agricultural and food industries play a critical role in shaping its market trajectories in different markets. Potassium Nitrate’s utilization in the agricultural and fertilizer industries drove its prices in Asia during the second quarter of the year 2024.

In India, after the winter harvests, the farming sector saw a significant rise in fertilizer demands, which in turn prompted the cost support for Potassium Nitrate prices. Moreover, there was a rise observed in Potassium Nitrate’s feedstock materials nitric acid and potassium chloride. Therefore, the manufacturing costs also kept the market graph inclined. However, a decline in export queries in both India and China amidst a global trade slowdown provided a slight reverse push to the price graph, which in turn balanced the overall pricing trajectory slightly. Conclusively, a mixed market trend was observed.

Europe

The tepidness of Asian markets in offshore trade was also reflected in the quarterly market run of Potassium Nitrate in Europe. With the market drivers pushing and pulling the domestic Potassium Nitrate market in both directions, the prices remained consolidated for the most part. Looking at the storage inventory levels, the cautious approach of domestic suppliers paid off as they were able to strike a balance between the incoming and outgoing stocks. Overall, a very limit-bound price trajectory was observed for potassium nitrate during Q2’24 in the European markets.

North America

Potassium Nitrate’s market performance in the American markets was observed to be average during the given three-month span. Market sentiments were found to be mostly positive throughout the given time period. The upstream dynamic showcased some marginal improvement; however, high carryover stocks amidst regular demands slowed down the downstream outlook a bit. Conclusively, a fine market performance was witnessed.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, Potassium Nitrate prices are expected to stay neutral in the coming months; the supply and demand equation is looking relaxed.
 

Potassium Nitrate Price Trend for the Q1 of 2024

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Asia

In accordance with global markets, potassium nitrate prices in Asian countries fluctuated due to various factors affecting both supply and demand dynamics. In the first quarter of 2024, a significant surge in potassium nitrate prices was initially spiked by uncertainty and concern among traders over subdued production activities amid the approaching agriculture season.

This spike was further attributed to the limited availability of overseas imports leading to supply chain disruptions and logistical challenges. China, a major producer and exporter, was further impacted by its robust fertilizer industry driven by domestic demand. India, on the other hand, a significant importer, was also supported by its agricultural sector. However, the oscillating economic parameters restricted the uptrend of potassium nitrate prices.

Europe

In the first quarter of 2024, the European countries witnessed notable fluctuations in potassium nitrate prices due to oscillating demand and increased efficiency of supply chains. Agricultural activities also slowed down seasonally, leading to decreased demand for potassium nitrate fertilizers. The farmers opted for alternative fertilizers like ammonium nitrate or urea, further dampening demand. The region also faced a surplus in potassium nitrate supply, influenced by increased imports from major producers and high inventories.

Despite the decline, the downstream market optimism remained bullish among the manufacturers, giving the inventories a further upside blow. However, towards the end of the quarter a slight reversal in the market dynamics was due to the improving agricultural outlook of the European countries.

North America

In North America, the prices of potassium nitrate improved by a slight margin as the downstream agriculture industries raised their appetite. Initially, the market growth was slow as the excessive inventories from previous quarters remained the concern of the traders and, therefore, prompted them to opt for destocking options by offering huge discounts on bulk purchases. However, the market activities started to improve during the middle of the quarter.

The rising interest of overseas industries amid the slowdown of exporting volumes from China also favored the rise in the potassium nitrate price trend in the first quarter. Also, the disruption and rerouting of maritime trade routes increased the expenditure on transportation, raising the overall production cost of potassium nitrate and favoring the rise in its price trend.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, the price trend of Potassium Nitrate is expected to move forward as the market activities are likely to be fueled by the improving outlook of downstream industries and rising cost of feedstock salts of potassium in near quarters.
 

Potassium Nitrate Price Trend for the October - December of 2023

Asia

Since the industrial production of potassium nitrate is greatly dependent on its feedstock compounds sodium nitrate and potassium chloride, the variations and market dynamics of both these compounds are also reflected in the potassium nitrate market trend. The costs and availability of both these raw materials determine the upstream production outlook for potassium nitrate.

During the given time period of Q4’23, the potassium nitrate price index exhibited borderline optimism, especially for the Chinese market. The Indian market on the other hand was relatively low swinging. These market trend were majorly directed by the market demands from the downstream fertilizer and explosives sectors. Overall, varying market trend were witnessed.

Europe

The European potassium nitrate market was observed to be showcasing borderline stability during the said period of the fourth quarter of 2023. The region’s fertilizer market has been struggling since the Russia and Ukraine war, as both these countries accounted for a majority of the fertilizer exports. However, during the given timeline the supply situation improved a lot and overtook the market demands resulting in a few upward peaks as well in the price graph.

North America

The North American potassium nitrate market closely mimicked its European counterpart during the said period. Belarus’s fertilizer exports negatively affected the domestic prices for most of the previous quarters. However, the supply and demand curve were largely found to be stable during this time. Overall, mixed market sentiments were observed.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, the Potassium Nitrate market projections look positive for the coming months. With some reverse fluctuations, prices are anticipated to grow in the coming quarter.
 

Potassium Nitrate Price Trend for the July - September of 2023

Asia

The first half of the third quarter commenced with the decline in the potassium nitrate price trend. The market dynamics of potassium nitrate were adversely affected by the underperformance of the downstream industries and the sliding interest of the consumer sector amid the weak condition of the Asian economy. In addition to this, the interest of overseas industries in the potassium nitrate sector additionally failed to support the potassium nitrate price momentum. The agriculture and fertilizer sector, on the other hand, showcased signs of improvement that helped the potassium nitrate price graph in the later stage of the third quarter.

Europe

The contraction in the potassium nitrate price graph during the third quarter of 2023 was a consequence of limited procurement from the fertilizer sector during the initial phase. This reduced demand for potassium nitrate fell short in view of the excess influx of the product as, despite the weak sentiments of the market, rates of production rose gradually. However, as the quarter progressed, the downstream industries caught up with the speed of industrial development of the European countries, giving the potassium nitrate price trend a boost.

North America

The potassium nitrate price trend declined throughout the third quarter of 2023, with only minimal recovery during the end phase. The potassium nitrate market in North America suffered from an excess of inventories and a poor outlook on consumer confidence. Among the downstream industries, the agriculture and fertilizers sector experienced a significant shrink that, in turn, negatively affected potassium nitrate prices.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, the price trend of Potassium Nitrate are estimated to continue their southward trend as the interest of downstream industries does not seem to improve in the upcoming months.
 

Potassium Nitrate Price Trend for the First Half of 2023

Asia

The water-soluble fertilizers sector is one of the major employers of potassium nitrate, and thus, its prices and growth trajectory are also dictated by it. In the first quarter, the domestic Asian market of potassium nitrate suffered from excess supply and low support from the downstream sector.

The feedstock cost also failed to push the price trend in a positive direction. This trend of decline in the prices continued in the second quarter, too, as the number of bulk purchases fell significantly, hampering the potassium nitrate price trend. The market suffered from lower export numbers, recession-like conditions, and low rainfall, which eventually led to a fall in the prices of potassium nitrate.

Europe

The low cost of natural gas, the effects of the US banking crisis, and frequent price cuts by traders due to limited offtakes by the downstream industries were the major causes of the decline in the price trend of potassium nitrate in the first quarter. In the second quarter, the prices kept moving southwards as this path was supported by the ongoing Russia-Ukraine crisis and global slowdown in the economy. Further, extreme level rainfall and poor weather conditions affected the agriculture sector negatively, leading to the decline in the price trend of potassium nitrate.

North America

The demand for potassium nitrate in the domestic and international industries fell significantly in the first two quarters of 2023, which was the most prominent cause of the decline in its prices. The consumers were reluctant to place bulk orders as the shadows of recession and rising rates of inflation loomed over the potassium nitrate market in North America. The economy of the region took a drastic turn after the failure of two major banks, which led to the contraction in manufacturing activities and the appetite of consumers, causing the price trend of potassium nitrate to move downwards.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, the price trend of Potassium Nitrate is expected to decline in the upcoming quarters as the demand from the downstream sectors is negatively influenced by the weak performance of the global economy.

Procurement Resource provides latest prices of Potassium Nitrate. Each price database is tied to a user-friendly graphing tool dating back to 2014, which provides a range of functionalities: configuration of price series over user defined time period; comparison of product movements across countries; customisation of price currencies and unit; extraction of price data as excel files to be used offline.