- Structural steel prices showed mixed movement in Q1’26, with Asia under pressure, Europe cost-supported, and North America firmer due to lower import competition.
- Feedstock conditions remained uneven as iron ore demand stayed cautious, while energy and freight costs rose after the Strait of Hormuz disruption reduced global oil supply by 10.1 mb/d in March.
- Downstream demand was weak in Asian and European construction, while North America received support from infrastructure activity and restricted import availability.
Asia
Structural steel prices witnessed mixed trends during Q1’26 as weak construction activity and excess steelmaking capacity weighed on market sentiment. China remained the main pressure point, with HRC prices down ~38.5% from 2021 levels, reflecting prolonged weakness in steel demand and heavy export dependence. Regional crude steel production also weakened, with Asia and Oceania output falling ~8.6% year-on-year in January and ~1.9% in February. Mills faced limited pricing power as buyers delayed purchases, and inventory movement stayed slow.
Europe
Structural steel prices remained broadly supported despite weak construction demand. EU crude steel output fell ~2.3% year-on-year in January and ~3.6% in February, limiting supply-side pressure. Higher energy costs after the Iran war and Strait of Hormuz disruption raised steelmaking and transport expenses, while import controls and carbon-related costs also supported mill offers. However, slow infrastructure and building activity restricted stronger price gains.
North America
Structural steel prices stayed firmer in Q1’26 as import availability remained limited and domestic suppliers held stronger positions. Finished steel import market share stood at ~15% during the first three months, while heavy structural shape imports rose ~48% month-on-month in March, showing selective restocking. Trade barriers and supply-chain risk helped maintain price firmness, though buyers remained cautious amid elevated project costs.
Analyst Insight
According to Procurement Resource, structural steel prices may remain mixed in the near term. Asia could stay weak due to excess supply, while Europe and North America may hold firmer if energy costs, trade controls, and lower supply availability persist.