- Global tomato prices increased in Q2 2026 due to weather-related supply disruptions and regional availability gaps in major producing areas.
- Heat stress affected crop quality and marketable supply, increasing logistics and handling costs.
- Downstream buyers faced higher food costs as vegetable inflation increased, impacting retail and food-service demand.
Tomato prices in India increased to ~INR 17.29/kg in April and ~INR 20.56/kg in May, showing a ~18.9% increase. The market remained firm during Q2’26 as supply constraints developed in key producing regions. Tomato inflation reached 35.28% year over year in April and increased further to 48.43% in May, reflecting tight availability. Heatwave conditions from mid-April, with temperatures reaching 40°C to 45°C across parts of major growing areas, affected crop quality and reduced marketable output in Maharashtra, Karnataka and Uttar Pradesh. Although the Ministry of Agriculture projected 2025/26 tomato production at 21.46 million metric tons, up 4.19%, supply availability remained uneven due to timing and regional mismatches. Lower arrivals from Uttar Pradesh and Haryana increased dependence on southern production centres, including Madanapalle in Andhra Pradesh, raising transportation costs and spoilage risks. Higher tomato prices also contributed to food cost pressure, with India’s Consumer Food Price Index inflation increasing from 4.20% in April to 4.78% in May. Towards the end of Q2, supply conditions improved as harvesting increased and winter-crop availability supported market correction. However, rainfall concerns remained as the IMD forecast below-normal June rainfall in key agricultural zones and above-normal heatwave days in some producing states.