In the first half of 2025, the price trend for fresh garlic showed a noticeable decline across several markets. Early in the year, exporters from Egypt faced a tough season despite a good harvest, as key German retailers opted not to stock Egyptian garlic. This decision, combined with higher production costs and limited early exports, initially kept prices elevated. However, supply soon picked up pace due to expanded acreage and favorable growing conditions in Egypt, which led to an increase in volumes by late Q1.Meanwhile, in India, garlic prices dropped sharply as a result of oversupply.
The previous year’s high prices had encouraged more farmers to plant garlic, creating a glut in the market. As the new crop entered wholesale and retail markets, supply far exceeded demand, pushing prices further down. Similar patterns emerged in other regions, where early harvests and improved yields led to increased availability.
In China, despite weather challenges, garlic production remained stable. Anticipation of a strong June harvest and steady export demand helped maintain confidence in market balance, though prices began softening in expectation of new supply.