- Jet fuel prices fell sharply after the early Q2 supply shock eased, as alternative cargo flows improved and high fuel costs weakened airline demand.
- Feedstock pressure came from crude and refinery losses, with lower refinery throughput and inventory drawdowns keeping product markets tight through the quarter.
- Downstream aviation demand softened as airlines raised fares, reduced capacity, and adjusted weaker routes after the fuel-cost spike.
Asia
In China, the prices of Jet Fuel were ~RMB 9.62/kg and ~RMB 7.56/kg, respectively, in the first two months of Q2’26, showing a ~21.4% decrease during the period. Similarly, in South Korea, the prices of Jet Fuel were ~KRW 2,040.54/kg in April and ~KRW 1,671.93/kg in May. Asian jet fuel first moved up sharply as Middle East disruption cut crude and product flows, tightened regional export availability, and raised airline fuel surcharges. However, prices corrected in May as flight schedules were reduced, demand growth expectations were lowered, and buyers resisted higher spot levels. Slower seat-capacity growth and route cancellations weakened fuel consumption, allowing the market to give back part of the earlier risk premium.
Europe
During Q2'26, the prices of Jet Fuel were ~EUR 1.28/kg in April and ~EUR 0.97/kg in the following month, showing a ~24.5% decrease in the Netherlands. Europe was highly exposed to the supply shock because part of its jet fuel supply normally came from the Persian Gulf, while regional production capacity had already declined compared with pre-crisis levels. Prices eased later as alternative supply routes improved, but the market remained sensitive to import dependence and route disruption. Aviation activity also faced pressure from high fuel costs, which limited demand recovery despite the summer travel season.
North America
North America was better supplied than Europe because refinery operations remained strong late in Q2. U.S. refinery inputs stood at 17.1 million b/d, with utilization at 96.1% in the week ending June 19. Jet fuel supplied was also slightly higher year-on-year, showing that aviation demand did not collapse. However, the U.S. West Coast remained exposed to East Asian import competition, especially when Asian buyers were chasing limited cargoes. This kept regional risk uneven.