During the second half of 2025, liquefied natural gas prices mostly moved on the lower side of the scale. The main reason was softer demand expectations caused by milder weather, especially in key consuming regions such as Europe and parts of Asia. The winter heating season started slowly, which reduced the urgency for buyers to secure extra LNG cargoes.
At the same time, global supply stayed comfortable. High LNG output from the United States continued through H2, with export plants running close to capacity despite some short-term operational issues. This steady flow added confidence that supply was available when needed. New LNG projects being sanctioned earlier in the year also reinforced the view that more gas would be available in the coming years.
European gas markets remained well supplied due to healthy storage levels and policy-driven diversification away from Russian gas, which reduced near-term panic buying. Asian demand, especially from price-sensitive countries, stayed cautious as earlier high energy costs had already slowed consumption growth.
Overall, LNG prices in H2’25 reflected a market that felt balanced rather than tight. Short-term disruptions did not change the broader view that supply was sufficient, keeping price pressure limited.