Tertiary Butyl Alcohol Price Trend and Forecast

Tertiary Butyl Alcohol Regional Price Overview

Get the latest insights on price movement and trend analysis of Tertiary Butyl Alcohol in different regions across the world (Asia, Europe, North America, Latin America, and the Middle East & Africa).

Tertiary Butyl Alcohol (TBA) Price Trend for the Q4 of 2024

Asia

In Asia, the TBA market experienced notable fluctuations throughout Q4’24, with prices following a predominantly downward trajectory. The Chinese market, particularly in the Shandong region, saw decreased demand in December after a brief uptick in early November. Supply-side fundamentals shifted as several producers resumed operations after planned maintenance, leading to increased market availability.
 

Tertiary Butyl Alcohol Price Chart

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The downstream industries maintained a cautious purchasing approach, primarily adopting a need-based procurement strategy. The market was further influenced by upstream propylene trends, which showed weakness during the latter part of the quarter.

Europe

The European TBA market demonstrated relative stability in Q4, though with a slight bearish sentiment. The region faced moderate demand from the automotive and construction sectors, while the manufacturing PMI continued to show constraints. Energy costs remained a crucial factor influencing production economics, particularly as winter approached. Plant operating rates were adjusted accordingly to maintain market balance, while producers focused on inventory management ahead of year-end.

North America

North American TBA markets tracked similarly to other regions, with prices moving lower through most of Q4. The market was characterized by adequate supply levels and moderate downstream demand. The region's petrochemical sector experienced some impact from seasonal factors, while derivative markets showed mixed performance. Production costs were influenced by feedstock propylene market dynamics, which remained volatile throughout the quarter. End-user industries maintained conservative buying patterns, particularly in December, as they managed year-end inventories.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, the global Tertiary Butyl Alcohol (TBA) market is expected to remain under pressure from ample supply availability and cautious demand. However, potential shifts in upstream markets and recovering manufacturing activity could provide some support to prices.
 

Tertiary Butyl Alcohol (TBA) Price Trend for the Q3 of 2024

Asia

The Asian market witnessed an upward yet fluctuating trend in prices during Q3’24. The primary driver behind this increase was the tightening of feedstock costs, as regional producers faced supply constraints due to planned and unplanned maintenance activities. Buyers in Asia initially adopted a wait-and-see approach, making limited purchases as they anticipated further price corrections.

However, as the supply situation tightened and feedstock costs rose, Asian buyers were compelled to accept the higher TBA prices to secure their requirements. Toward the latter half of the quarter, TBA producers in Asia were able to maintain their margins, as key end-use industries, such as the plastics and coatings sectors, demonstrated stronger demand despite the price increases.

Europe

The European domestic market witnessed a period of price stabilization in Q3’24, following a turbulent few months earlier in the year. Prices remained high, supported by the constrained supply of critical feedstocks required for TBA production. The elevated corn prices in the global market also impacted the TBA market in Europe. This added to the cost pressures faced by European TBA manufacturers. Despite the supply challenges, the demand landscape presented a mixed picture. While the automotive sector maintained a steady appetite for TBA, other end-use industries, such as paints and coatings, exhibited a more cautious buying pattern, limiting their purchases to immediate requirements.

North America

The US tertiary butyl alcohol (TBA) market experienced a volatile price trend during Q3’24. Feedstock costs, particularly for isobutylene, a key raw material for TBA production, remained elevated due to supply chain disruptions and planned maintenance turnarounds at major isobutylene crackers in the region. Demand from the automotive sector, a significant consumer of TBA, remained relatively robust. However, economic uncertainties and supply chain challenges weighed on demand from other key end-use industries. This mixed demand landscape contributed to the overall price volatility in the North American TBA market.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, the price trend for Tertiary Butyl Alcohol will likely remain volatile in the coming months given the current macroeconomic fundamentals and state of global economy.
 

Tertiary Butyl Alcohol Price Trend for the Q2 of 2024

Asia

In Q2 2024, the tertiary butyl alcohol market in China experienced a stable yet cautiously optimistic trend. The prices remained relatively steady as the market balanced out amid various influencing factors. Although the global petrochemical sector faced challenges, including reduced sales volumes and logistics disruptions, the domestic demand for TBA showed signs of improvement. Increased inquiries from downstream industries, particularly the solvents sector, bolstered the market. However, the overall demand for durable goods remained subdued, impacting volumes and margins in the petrochemical market, including TBA.

Geopolitical tensions continued to affect the global oil market, contributing to supply growth constraints and upward pressure on prices. The potential for conflict in the Middle East, coupled with restricted supply from OPEC+ and a moderate demand outlook in key consumer markets like China, posed significant challenges. The threat of Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz further exacerbated uncertainties, influencing the petrochemicals sector.

Europe

In Q2 2024, the prices of tertiary butyl alcohol in Germany remained stable, reflecting balanced market dynamics. The upstream naphtha market provided weak support, influenced by the international crude oil market, which saw a decline due to high-interest rates in the US, bearish inventory data, and decreasing geopolitical risks. Despite these challenges, the demand outlook for TBA improved, driven by increased inquiries from the downstream solvents industry and marginally higher consumption across other European markets as consumers replenished inventories.

The petrochemical industry, including TBA, faced declining demand, increased online capacity, and historically low earnings. The easing of geopolitical threats further contributed to the stability of the TBA market by reducing crude oil risk premiums and cost pressures.

North America

Similar to the Asian and European countries, the TBA prices in North America, too, showcased resilience amid significant oscillations in demand dynamics from the downstream industries. The balanced outlook of the market, shared by the striking equilibrium of supply and demand of the commodity, played a significant role in stabilizing the market. Despite the changes in the global functioning of petrochemical industries, the stable inquiries from domestic as well as overseas markets helped sustain the stagnancy of the market.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, the price trend of Tertiary Butyl Alcohol is expected to be driven by the escalating cost of production and increasing rates of procurement from the downstream industries.
 

Tertiary Butyl Alcohol Price Trend for the Q1 of 2024

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Asia

In China, the tertiary butyl alcohol market experienced a decline in prices as the market drivers experienced excessive pressure from degrading market dynamics. Despite a slight recovery towards the end of March, the overall trend remained downward. The weak demand, influenced by the weak momentum of the downstream market, led to a few new transactions and a cautious approach from buyers.

The trading atmosphere was also light, with a notable wait-and-see attitude among the end-user industries. On the supply side, factories had sufficient inventory but faced pressure, resulting in a sluggish overall shipment pace. Consequently, factories focused on managing pressure and making profit concessions rather than providing support to the market. The market, however, experienced some recovery at the end of March, but the momentum was moderate compared to previous quarters.

Europe

In the first quarter of 2024, the German market experienced a significant inflation in the prices of tertiary butyl alcohol due to tight supply conditions and increased prices of feedstock propylene. OQ Chemicals declared a force majeure at its Oberhausen production site, leading to restrictive supply conditions for oxo-alcohols, including tertiary butyl alcohol. In response, OQ Chemicals announced price hikes for all oxo-intermediates, including tertiary butyl alcohol. Concurrently, Eastman Chemicals also raised tertiary butyl alcohol prices for North and South American markets.

Despite the automotive paints and coating sector supporting tertiary butyl alcohol demand in Europe, the German construction industry's deep downturn dampened demand from downstream industries. While engineering activities showed resilience, commercial construction activities contracted significantly in the first quarter of 2024. Consequently, while tertiary butyl alcohol demand remained subdued in the paints and coating industry, overall automotive sales rose, potentially providing some momentum to the tertiary butyl alcohol market.

North America

The first quarter shifts in the United States' tertiary butyl alcohol market dynamics were influenced by multiple factors, including supply-demand dynamics, feedstock price increases, and evolving downstream markets. OQ Chemicals' announcement of a substantial price hike further caused ripples in the market sentiments.

The shortage of propylene, a key feedstock for tertiary butyl alcohol production, exaggerated by plant shutdowns due to adverse weather conditions in the first months of the first quarter of 2024, has significantly disrupted the tertiary butyl alcohol supply. Also, fluctuations in crude oil prices played a pivotal role in affecting production costs. Meanwhile, surging demand across various industries, particularly construction and automotive sectors, has bolstered tertiary butyl alcohol consumption. Transportation challenges, including operational constraints in the Panama Canal and disruptions in the Red Sea, also led to an uptick in the pricing patterns of tertiary butyl alcohol.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, the price trend of Tertiary Butyl Alcohol is expected to surge in the next quarters as the rising cost of feedstock chemicals and crude oil will drive up the production cost of tertiary butyl alcohol and, conversely, its prices.
 

Tertiary Butyl Alcohol (TBA) Price Trend for the October - December of 2023

Asia

Tertiary Butyl Alcohol’s market performance was observed to be average during the given period of Q4’23. Tertiary Butyl Alcohol is a chemical that is also used as a fuel additive, particularly for gasoline. The market offtakes associated with this application were still regular and kept the tertiary butyl alcohol market buoyant for the large extent of this period.

However, the dwindling production costs, as assisted by the downfall in the prices of feedstock material methyl tertiary butyl ether, pivoted the tertiary butyl alcohol market trend to the southern side. The market performance was largely unsatisfying for the majority of the time period; however, some positive inclinations were witnessed in the later days of December. The general market sentiments still remained negative for most of the final quarter.

Europe

The tertiary butyl alcohol market performance in Europe was relatively better than the Asian markets. Due to the freight hindrances and the regional tensions owing to the war in the European backyard, the tertiary butyl alcohol supplies were largely curtailed for the European markets. This resulted in the slightly positive wavering of the tertiary butyl alcohol prices in the European market. Overall, mixed market trend were witnessed in Q4’23.

North America

The North American tertiary butyl alcohol market mirrored the trend of its European counterpart during the final quarter of the year 2023. Various geopolitical tensions impacted the overall trade sentiments, affecting the stock movement across international markets, thereby impacting the pricing fundamentals for tertiary butyl alcohol.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, the Tertiary Butyl Alcohol market projections are hopeful for the coming quarters. Positive gap between the supply and demand dynamics will guide the Tertiary Butyl Alcohol market in the coming months.
 

Tertiary Butyl Alcohol Price Trend for the July - September of 2023

Asia

The majority of the third quarter faced several challenges, which proved fatal for the tertiary butyl alcohol price trend. The momentum of the tertiary butyl alcohol market slowed down as consumers lost their confidence in the market, causing a steep decline in the demand for tertiary butyl alcohol from the downstream industries.

Further, the profit margins of manufacturers fell on account of exponentially rising inventory levels and stable rates of production. However, during the end phase, the tertiary butyl alcohol price graph moved positively with the help of the rising cost of production and improving demand dynamics.

Europe

The third quarter brought fluctuations in the tertiary butyl alcohol price trend. The European countries fell short in terms of demand from the paints and coatings sector, and the rising uncertainties in the economic growth hampered the movement of the tertiary butyl alcohol market. The stability of tertiary butyl alcohol was further challenged by the consistently falling cost of raw materials and minimal support from the upstream industries. These opposing winds in the market kept the tertiary butyl alcohol price trend in the negative direction.

North America

Throughout the three months of the third quarter, the tertiary butyl alcohol price trend struggled to find momentum as the end-user industries in North America underperformed during this phase. The momentum of the tertiary butyl alcohol market was also adversely affected by the downward movement of the economy and the gradual rise in inflation and interest rates. These conditions not only lowered the rate of procurement from the consumers but also affected the overall functioning of the tertiary butyl alcohol market, and thus, it failed to showcase any signs of improvement.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, the price trend of Tertiary butyl alcohol are estimated to trace a southwards journey as the market activities seemed to be negatively influenced by poor demand and unfavorable growth conditions.
 

Tertiary Butyl Alcohol Price Trend for the First Half of 2023

Asia

The tertiary butyl alcohol market fluctuated in the first and second quarters of 2023. The price trend in the first quarter was highly affected by the restocking behaviour of the traders after the long holiday season. The demand from solvent and gasoline sectors also improved in the initial months, which drove the price trend of tertiary butyl alcohol in the upward direction.

But soon, the trajectory slowed down with the ample availability of the product in the region and sliding demand. In the second quarter, the price trend suffered from the slow market dynamics of the paints and coatings industries, the housing crisis and plummeting condition of China’s economy.

Europe

The tertiary butyl alcohol prices showcased mixed trend in the first quarter and declined slowly in the second quarter of 2023. The European region was majorly affected by the rising levels of inventories, fluctuating feedstock costs, and low buying sentiments of consumers. The high-interest rates and rising levels of inflation further fueled the already dipping prices and caused the price trend of tertiary butyl alcohol to move towards the southward direction.

North America

In North America, the prices of tertiary butyl alcohol increased initially in the first quarter as the downstream industries increased their number of orders. But in the subsequent months of the first quarter and second quarter, the trend declined. The major affecting factor for this decline was the closing of two significant US banks that shook the financial market of this region. This led to strong monetary policies, a hike in interest and inflation rates and poor performance of the downstream industries.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, the price trend of Tertiary Butyl Alcohol is expected to witness a mixed trajectory as the slow demand from downstream industries and hiked inflation rates will likely impact the market negatively.

Procurement Resource provides latest prices of Tertiary Butyl Alcohol. Each price database is tied to a user-friendly graphing tool dating back to 2014, which provides a range of functionalities: configuration of price series over user defined time period; comparison of product movements across countries; customisation of price currencies and unit; extraction of price data as excel files to be used offline.