Soybean Prices in North America are Continuing to Witness an Upward Trend Due to the Demand-Supply Mismatch.
Due to the demand and supply mismatch, the prices of soybean in North America are continuing to witness an upward trend. In contrast to last month’s prediction of USD 51.9 bushels per acre, USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) crop production report predicts a soybean yield of USD 50.5 bushels per acre for the 2022-2023 growing season.
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The output estimate is cut back by USD 152.37 million bushels, or USD 0.58 million acres, to USD 4.38 billion bushels, along with a USD 0.58 million-acre decrease in the harvested area predicted to USD 86.6 million acres.
As a result, it is anticipated that the volumes of soybean crushed and exported in 2022-2023 will drop by 20 and 70 million bushels, to USD 2.23 billion bushels and USD 2.09 billion bushels, respectively.
From the estimate made last month, the ending inventories are down by 45 million bushels to 200 million bushels. The USDA’s prediction of the typical price paid to soybean farmers in 2022-2023 is USD 14.35 per bushel this month.
During quarter two of 2022, the prices of soybean increased in North America due to the strong domestic and demand market. Price increased during the first half of quarter two because of the war between Russia and Ukraine driving up the cost of soybean products.
Due to the low stockpiles and high demand, the price remained high during the second half of quarter two. Whereas at the end of the quarter, the soybean prices were valued at USD 1940/MT during the month of June.
Chicago soybean futures reached a 7-month low of USD 1,300 in July 2022 but recovered to reach USD 14.8 bushel in September 2022, continuing their upward trend as concerns about a lack of supply have countered expectations of lower demand due to a slowing global economy.
The USDA unexpectedly and drastically reduced forecasts of domestic soybean production, crush, exports, and ending stocks in its most recent WASDE report. Due to poor weather conditions in the primary growing regions, which resulted in forecasts of the harvested area being reduced by 600,000 acres and yields by nearly 3 percent for the next marketing year.
Meanwhile, output outlooks in major producers like Argentina and Brazil were affected by the hot, dry weather conditions. Soybeans and other crops grown in America, including corn, outperformed the reduction in prices of oil and other agricultural commodities that have been falling since July 2022 due to worries of a global recession because of serious supply issues.
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According to Procurement Resource, in North America, soybean prices are still on the rise because of an imbalance between supply and demand. The USDA's National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) crop output report anticipates a soybean yield of USD 50.5 bushels per acre for the 2022–2023 growing season, down from last month's prediction of USD 51.9 bushels per acre. The price declines of oil and other agricultural commodities that have been occurring since July 2022 because of concerns about a worldwide recession due to major supply shortages were exceeded by soybeans and other crops grown in America, including corn.