Geopolitical tensions over the Strait of Hormuz persisted, with Iran warning ships to use Iranian route. Combined with bearish macro factors, aluminum prices plunged, with SHFE aluminum settling at 22,515 yuan/mt. Short-term outlook remains weak, with prices expected to stay in the doldrums.
Imported bauxite prices held firm as Guinea's quota policy and rainy season limited shipments, while domestic ore prices declined from earlier highs due to falling alumina prices and recovery of mine operations. The bauxite market shows a tug-of-war, with near-term consolidation expected.
The global market for Aluminium Cans experienced progressive appreciation throughout the fourth quarter, closely tracking movements in feedstock aluminium prices. The opening period witnessed gradual strengthening as upstream raw material costs began ascending from their early-quarter levels, creating upward pressure on production economics for can manufacturers. Supply availability remained moderate as primary metal markets tightened due to capacity constraints and elevated energy costs affecting smelter operations.
Mid-quarter developments brought temporary volatility as feedstock values spiked briefly before correcting, though this softening proved short-lived as underlying supply-demand fundamentals remained supportive. Demand from beverage packaging sectors maintained steady consumption patterns, with carbonated soft drinks, beer, and ready-to-drink products sustaining baseline requirements. Seasonal purchasing activity from beverage producers ahead of anticipated demand periods provided additional support.
The latter portion of the quarter witnessed accelerated momentum as raw material costs entered a sustained upward trajectory. Supply constraints in upstream markets, combined with declining inventory levels and approaching capacity limitations in key producing regions, supported progressive price increases. Manufacturers passed through higher input costs to downstream buyers as production economics tightened.
Trade activity reflected these firming conditions, with procurement volumes remaining stable despite elevated pricing levels. Year-end conditions showed continued strength as can producers navigated elevated feedstock costs and maintained operational output to meet packaging demand.
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Aluminium can price graph continued to witness mixed trends during the third quarter of 2025. The upstream aluminium market fluctuated within a narrow range in China. Consistency in raw material costs, supported by alumina oversupply and steady smelter operations, maintained predictable input pricing for can manufacturers. Production levels improved as replacement capacities resumed, ensuring a reliable supply of can body stock.
Downstream applications played a central role in sustaining demand. Beverage packaging remained the dominant consumer segment, with steady orders from soft drink, energy drink, and ready-to-drink categories. Seasonal restocking by bottlers and packaging companies supported procurement, while the food and personal care sectors maintained stable offtake. Demand from the aerosol and pharmaceutical packaging industries also contributed to consistent purchasing, though at moderate volumes. Overall, aluminium can prices held firm through the quarter amid steady supply conditions and dependable downstream demand.
An aluminium can is a single-use container (primarily aluminium) for packaging. Owing to its malleability, aluminium can easily be pressed into different shapes. Aluminium cans are usually used for food and beverages like milk, sodas, and products such as oil and chemicals. Aluminium cans are lightweight, easy to stack, highly malleable and infinitely recyclable.
Hence, the future of sustainable packing lies with aluminium and aluminium cans are a step forward in this direction. Most common beverages are packed in pull tab or screw-top aluminium cans, which offer perfect cooling protecting the flavour and freshness.
Amcor, Ball Corporation, Silgan Containers LLC, Ardagh
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Three-piece can drawing method consists of a single cylindrical body rolled from a piece of flat metal with a longitudinal seam; then, the two ends are seamed together. Three-piece cans can be made in almost any practical combination of height and diameter. In Two-piece can drawing, a metal disc is reformed into a cylinder with an integral end. This loose end is then seamed shut.
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