Retail anhydrous ammonia prices in Illinois have risen significantly compared to both last year and two years prior, reaching levels only seen once in the past decade. High nitrogen fertilizer costs are creating strong economic incentives for farmers to reduce application rates, though historical data shows many farmers have been slow to adjust rates downward even when prices are elevated.
Asia
The prices of ammonium hydroxide in Asia were volatile during Q4’25. In October, the prices were generally steady as liquid ammonia prices stopped their decline and traded in a tight range. Supply was sufficient, and demand from fertilizers and industrial users was moderate. Prices were higher in November due to a tight supply of liquid ammonia in the Asian market following plant maintenance and environmental inspections in China. Since ammonium hydroxide is produced by dissolving liquid ammonia in water, prices were affected positively by the increase in liquid ammonia prices. Demand from fertilizers also picked up, which supported prices. However, in December, prices were lower again. Supply improved in the Asian market after several ammonia plants came back on line, and demand from agricultural products eased. Consequently, prices fell and decreased towards the end of the quarter.
Europe
In Europe, the ammonium hydroxide market recorded a steady and cautious trend in Q4’25. In October, the balance between supply and demand was seen, with minimal changes in price. However, in November, firmness in the cost of ammonia, particularly in Asia, was seen. There was some upward pressure in the cost of ammonium hydroxide due to tightness in ammonia supply and firmness in demand, particularly for chemical and water treatment industries. However, the increase was not sharp, as demand for purchases was still careful. In December, supply conditions tightened in the region, and demand for ammonia, particularly in agriculture, was weak. This resulted in a downward movement in the cost of ammonia and consequently in the price of ammonium hydroxide.
North America
North America witnessed moderate variability during Q4’25. Prices were firm in October on the back of sufficient domestic ammonia supplies and consistent industrial demand. Further, the prices were also firm during November as the global ammonia market tightened and fertilizer demand picked up seasonally. This impacted the prices of ammonium hydroxide products. However, prices softened during the latter half of the quarter as supply-side pressures increased with the normalization of ammonia supplies and the start of the off-season for agricultural demand. Industrial demand remained consistent but was not robust enough to support prices.
Analyst Insight
According to Procurement Resource, Ammonium Hydroxide prices are expected to be firm with a possibility of a soft trend in the near term, given the balanced supply and demand situation.
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Asia
In the third quarter of 2025, ammonium hydroxide prices in Asia, especially in China, showed a downward trend. At the start of July, prices dropped owing to excess supply and not enough demand. Many plants that had stopped for maintenance earlier came back online, adding more product to the market. At the same time, demand from the fertilizer and industrial sectors stayed low, which caused inventories to build up.
Later in July, prices went up for a short time when a few plants shut down again for maintenance causing disbalance in the market fundamentals. However, this momentum was rather short-lived. By August, prices again started to fall sharply. Demand remained poor, and trading activity was low. In September, prices saw a small rebound as supply growth slowed and some adjustments were made. However, the rebound was limited, as inventory stayed high and buyer interest stayed weak.
Europe
In Europe, ammonium hydroxide prices were mostly soft during Q3 2025. Supply stayed steady, and there were no major issues at production plants. However, demand remained low from both agricultural and industrial sectors, as buyers were cautious and the off-season continued. There were a few short periods of price recovery in July due to supply limits, but these were not strong enough to change the overall downward trend. As the quarter moved on, prices stayed under pressure due to continued oversupply and weak demand.
North America
The North American market for ammonium hydroxide was somewhat stable during the said quarter. Most production plants ran smoothly, and there were no major supply disruptions throughout the quarter. Demand from agriculture stayed low because of the seasonal slowdown, and industrial use remained mostly steady without much growth. Buyers continued to purchase only what they needed, avoiding large stockpiles. Since both supply and demand were balanced, prices stayed within a narrow range and didn’t show big movements either up or down. The overall market mood remained cautious, with no clear drivers pushing prices significantly in either direction.
Analyst Insight
According to Procurement Resource, Ammonium Hydroxide prices are likely to remain steady with some fluctuations in the coming months. A slight improvement is expected as the agricultural demand picks up, but strong price recovery will depend on better demand from key downstream sectors.
Ammonium hydroxide belongs to the group of ammonia salts with a pungent odor and has the ability to act as a weak base. The basic nature of this compound comes from its tendency to produce hydroxide ions on dissociation. In industrial processes, it acts as a pH regulator and a significant ingredient in the production of cleaning products, chemical reagents, and water treatment processes.
NH4OH
Food processing, Water treatment, Refrigeration, Cleaning and household products, Textile and leather industry
KMG Chemicals Inc, Tanner Industries Inc, BASF SE, Mitsubishi Gas Chemical Company, TAIWAN FERTILIZER CO LTD, Spectrum Chemical Manufacturing Corp, MGC Pure Chemicals America Inc
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