Calcium Nitrate Price Trend and Forecast

Calcium Nitrate Regional Price Overview

Get the latest insights on price movement and trend analysis of Calcium Nitrate in different regions across the world (Asia, Europe, North America, Latin America, and the Middle East & Africa).

Calcium Nitrate Price Trend for the First Half of 2025

Asia

In the first half of 2025, the Calcium Nitrate market in Asia remained relatively stable, although there were signs of supply-side stress. China continued to dominate production, but government controls on exports to prioritize domestic availability tightened global supply.
 

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Phosphate and nitrogen-based fertilizer exports from the region were affected, especially with demand increasing across global markets. Asian buyers had to compete with other regions for available stocks, which led to occasional price pressure during peak planting months. Overall, while Asia managed to maintain reasonable availability, the tight global situation did result in a firm market.

Europe

The European market experienced noticeable price increases for Calcium Nitrate during H1’25. Tariff hikes on Russian fertilizer imports, announced by the European Parliament, played a major role. Although the full impact of the duties would unfold gradually until 2028, anticipation of higher future costs already affected market sentiment.

With Russia contributing significantly to EU’s nitrogen-based fertilizer imports, the political push to reduce dependency and support local production led to higher domestic manufacturing costs, especially with natural gas prices staying elevated. Supply constraints also came into play, as imports became more restricted and local output struggled to keep up. Seasonal demand further supported the bullish trend, particularly in southern and western European agricultural zones.

North America

In North America, Calcium Nitrate prices also trended upward through H1’25. A 25% tariff on fertilizers from Canada and increased production costs contributed to higher prices. Farmers were preparing for extensive maize planting, which supported strong fertilizer demand across the U.S.

However, lingering geopolitical tensions, especially in the Middle East and Eastern Europe, raised concerns over nitrogen supply. While domestic supply chains and Canadian output provided some cushion, the overall market remained tight. Mexico, in particular, looked for alternative import sources to stabilize availability and costs. The pricing environment stayed firm due to persistent input cost pressures and high seasonal demand.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, Calcium Nitrate prices may remain elevated, with supply risks and geopolitical tensions still in play. Market participants should prepare for continued volatility into the second half of the year.
 

Calcium Nitrate Price Trend for Q4 of 2024

Asia

In Q4’24, calcium nitrate prices in Asia experienced a steady rise, largely driven by tightening global nitrogen supply and reduced exports from China. As one of the major producers and exporters of urea and ammonia, China’s decision to limit shipments had a ripple effect across the nitrogen fertilizer market. This pushed up input costs for calcium nitrate, especially in Southeast Asian regions that rely on imports.

Additionally, increased demand for nitrogen-based fertilizers in India ahead of the rabi season contributed to price firmness. With regional inventories kept low due to cautious buying in earlier quarters, the sudden supply constraints left buyers with fewer options, leading to upward pressure on prices.

Europe

European markets saw a sharper increase in calcium nitrate prices during Q4. This was primarily caused by a spike in natural gas costs, a key feedstock for ammonia production, which directly impacts calcium nitrate manufacturing. Gas prices rose significantly compared to earlier in the year, pushing up fertilizer production costs across the continent.

Furthermore, logistical disruptions and energy-related uncertainties added to the supply chain constraints, making it harder for suppliers to maintain consistent output. While demand remained steady from agriculture and some industrial sectors, reduced production levels meant that supply couldn’t keep pace, further supporting price gains.

North America

In North America, prices for calcium nitrate also trended higher in the fourth quarter, though the pace of increase was more moderate than in Europe. The U.S. market faced moderate supply-side tightness, especially as domestic producers managed inventories cautiously amid fluctuating natural gas prices.

Demand remained healthy, supported by late-season crop nutrition applications and industrial usage. However, buyers showed restraint in bulk purchases due to the prevailing uncertainty in farm economics, which kept the market somewhat balanced. Still, limited availability of imports, combined with stable demand, led to firm price movements throughout the quarter.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, Calcium Nitrate prices are expected to remain elevated due to continued feedstock cost pressure and tight global supply conditions, especially if energy markets stay volatile.
 

Calcium Nitrate Price Trend for Q3 of 2024

Asia

In Asia, the calcium nitrate market experienced steady downward pressure in prices during Q3 2024. This trend was largely influenced by a reduction in input costs, particularly for feedstock calcium carbonate and electricity. As energy costs stabilized and supply chains normalized, Asian producers were able to maintain competitive pricing, keeping the market relatively balanced. However, domestic demand for Calcium Ammonium Nitrate (CAN), a key derivative of calcium nitrate used in fertilizers, remained stable, particularly in agricultural regions such as China and India.

Export activity from Asian countries to Europe and North America also played a role in maintaining the price equilibrium, though the focus remained on reducing production costs in response to softening global economic conditions. The favorable weather across key agricultural regions supported steady demand, though the price drop in calcium nitrate continued to reflect broader deflationary trends in raw materials.

Europe

In Europe, calcium nitrate prices experienced an upward trend during Q3 2024, mainly due to improved demand in the agricultural sector and tightening supply conditions. European farmers began stocking Calcium Ammonium Nitrate in preparation for the winter cropping season, particularly in Southern Europe, where favorable weather conditions boosted planting activities. Despite the overall upward movement, European production of calcium nitrate remained subdued due to high energy costs and carbon expenses, which kept profit margins low for domestic producers.

However, prices saw an uptick as demand from key markets like Spain increased, driven by sufficient moisture levels and ideal conditions for planting. Furthermore, the integration of production in countries like Norway, coupled with reduced imports of CAN, also added to the bullish momentum. The reliance on imports, especially from Northern European suppliers, further tightened supply, contributing to price increases, even as domestic production struggled to recover.

North America

In North America, calcium nitrate prices rose during Q3 2024, primarily driven by expensive supply imports from Norway. The rising cost of feedstock materials, along with higher operational expenses, put pressure on domestic producers, who faced limited profitability. As in Europe, demand for Calcium Ammonium Nitrate remained robust, particularly due to favorable weather conditions in the U.S. Midwest and Southern regions.

NOAA forecasts predicting increased rainfall during the planting season spurred fertilizer demand, leading to higher prices for calcium nitrate. Additionally, the geopolitical tensions affecting the global fertilizer trade, especially with Russia, prompted North American buyers to seek alternative sources, increasing their reliance on European imports. This contributed to the tightening of supply and further drove up prices. The cost of inputs, including feedstock was projected to rise modestly, indicating that higher prices for calcium nitrate would persist into the following months.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, the price trend of Calcium Nitrate is expected to move northwards at a faster pace in the upcoming quarters as the general outlook for the key derivatives of the market looks promising.
 

Calcium Nitrate Price Trend for Q2 of 2024

Asia

In Asia, particularly in China, calcium nitrate prices have remained relatively on the lower end of the spectrum compared to other regions. The reduction in the prices of calcium nitrate was a consequence of bleak industrial activities in the region post-spring holidays. This initially elevated the stockpiles of the commodity and asserted additional pressure on the market. However, the lower production costs in China provided a significant advantage in the latter half of the quarter, making Chinese calcium nitrate a preferred choice for several import-dependent nations.

This dependency of the international markets on Asian produce even overpowered the ill consequences of surging freight charges and transportation delays. However, its impact on the pricing pattern of the commodity was not reflected well but has raised the expectations of the market players for the quarter ahead.

Europe

In Europe, calcium nitrate producers faced significant challenges, particularly related to high feedstock costs and elevated energy prices. The momentum of the market was further altered by the changes in Asian-European trader routes. These factors contributed to the high-cost burden in the European supply chain, making it difficult for producers to compete with lower-cost regions such as China. Additionally, the region's stringent carbon emission regulations have added to the financial strain on producers. This challenging environment has led to a focus on finding financially viable and sustainable sources of calcium nitrate.

North America

North America has traditionally relied on imports of calcium nitrate, notably from non-Asian sources. However, geopolitical tensions and the rise of protectionist measures challenged the market dynamics during the second quarter of 2024. The dominance of European players in the North American market was challenged by the increasing tensions at the Red Sea trade route, substantial surge in freight charges, and significant extension of lead times. These market dynamics, therefore, resulted in the oscillating trend of calcium nitrate prices throughout the quarter. On the other hand, the procurement rates of the end-user industries remained the same, raising the optimism of the traders for the months ahead.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, the price of Calcium Nitrate is estimated to be driven by the changing dynamics of global trading patterns and slow and gradual improvement of the procurement rates from the downstream industries.
 

Calcium Nitrate Price Trend for Q1 of 2024

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The first half of the year 2023 witnessed fluctuating price patterns for Calcium Nitrate. The prices were mostly found to be wavering at the lower end. The first quarter was somewhat stable, but the second quarter was observed struggling throughout.

The primary reason for the downfall in Calcium Nitrate prices was the lackluster demands from the agricultural sector since Calcium Nitrate is used heavily for nitrogen-based fertilizers. The adverse weather conditions involving unseasonal and uneven rainfall patterns disturbed the crop cycles severely.

With anticipated losses, many farmers didn’t sow the fields, and the farming sector saw a downfall globally. With this, the need for fertilizers was reduced. Furthermore, whatever requirements the farming sector posed could easily be catered to by existing inventories. Overall, mixed market sentiments were observed.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, with existing high inventories, a rapid improvement is not anticipated in the Calcium Nitrate market trend.

Procurement Resource provides latest prices of Calcium Nitrate. Each price database is tied to a user-friendly graphing tool dating back to 2014, which provides a range of functionalities: configuration of price series over user defined time period; comparison of product movements across countries; customisation of price currencies and unit; extraction of price data as excel files to be used offline.