EPDM Rubber Price Trend and Forecast

Regional Price Overview

Get the latest insights on price movement and trend analysis of EPDM Rubber in different regions across the world (Asia, Europe, North America, Latin America, and the Middle East & Africa).

EPDM Rubber Price Trend for the Q1 of 2024

Asia

In the Chinese EPDM rubber market, despite several plant shutdowns, prices have remained stable throughout the quarter. The rise in support from the international crude oil market contributed significantly to the recovery of EPDM rubber costs. However, the fluctuations in feedstock propylene, driven by limitations in trade routes, resulted in slight ripples in the market trajectory of EPDM rubber in the initial phase of the quarter. Although the methanol market has shown relative stability, weakened demand has led to price dips, slightly loosening support for EPDM rubber.

EPDM Rubber Price Chart

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The procurement rates, particularly from China's downstream automobile sector, on the other hand, remained bullish, signaling the improvement of the domestic industrial sector. However, in the rest of the countries, the trend showcased the result of a combination of improved weather, financial incentives, and the renewal of downstream industries during the first quarter of 2024.

Europe

In Europe, EPDM rubber prices softened despite high upstream and energy costs, driven by subdued market fundamentals and geopolitical risks. In Germany, EPDM rubber prices significantly declined as buyers held back amid sluggish derivative orders and average demand from the polymer industry. End-user industries showed limited interest in spot market activities, contributing to a pessimistic outlook for EPDM rubber manufacturers.

While global crude oil prices rose and feedstock Naphtha prices increased, they failed to drive EPDM rubber price realization higher due to the tepid outlook of the overall market. Supply concerns eased as irregular Asian and US imports raised the demand for domestic produce, meeting limited requirements. The traders further expect the EPDM rubber price to decrease due to soft polymer demand, though cost support from high feedstock prices and bullish crude oil forecasts may persist.

North America

In the US market, EPDM rubber prices experienced a significant downturn in the first phase of the first quarter of 2024. This reduction occurred despite increased feedstock prices, primarily due to moderate support from the domestic downstream industries.

Despite this moderate domestic and overseas demand, suppliers continued to function on similar production patterns, increasing the inventory buildup in the region. The cost of raw materials such as feedstock chemicals and crude oil, however, increased by a significant margin, which was not reflected noticeably in the pricing trajectory of EPDM rubber.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, the price trend of EPDM Rubber is estimated to slightly incline with the help of rising interest of automotive and tire industries in this sector.

EPDM Rubber Price Trend for the October - December of 2023

Asia

The aftermath of the rise in import activities and drop in demand outlook of EPDM rubber was evident in the trajectory of last quarter of 2023. However, the Asian market, particularly in China performed better than the rest of the world. In Japan, the EPDM rubber prices settled at around 2395 USD/MT at the end of the quarter while the situation was not smooth sailing in India. In the last quarter, the India achieved a new low which greatly concerned the traders. The downward spiraling of the tire industries further accelerated the oscillations in the EPDM rubber price trend.

Europe

The fourth quarter brought some momentary relief for the European EPDM rubber price trend as the demand slightly surpassed the inventories towards the end of the quarter. The construction and tire industries, which struggled initially, improved their rates of procurement and the EPDM rubber prices inclined during the last month of the year. However, the challenging part for the traders was the oscillations in the cost of raw materials, that shook the stability of the EPDM rubber prices.

North America

The North American price trend of EPDM rubber witnessed a similar fate as that was observed in the European countries. Initially, the high cost of fuel and energy production along with substantial demand supported the uptick in the EPDM rubber price trend. Further, increment in sales number of automotive industries and rise in government initiatives due to impending election worked in favor of EPDM rubber prices. However, loss of export number due to drought like situation in Panama Canal and port congestion at Suez Canal routes, delayed the EPDM rubber shipments negatively influencing the EPDM price trend.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, the price trend of EPDM Rubber will be majorly affected by the demand from the adhesives and coating industries while other factors such as export plans and and economic troubles are likely to influence the EPDM Rubber price graph.

EPDM Rubber Price Trend for the July-September of 2023

Asia

In the initial months of the third quarter, the price trend of EPDM rubber surged with the help of the growth of the automotive sector and an increase in demand from the downstream industries. In addition to this, improvement in the availability of semiconductors and other raw materials gave the automotive and vehicle sector its required momentum and thus, in turn, also supported the rise in the prices of EPDM rubber. However, after this initial growth phase, the market witnessed a gradual decline with a fall in the cost of raw materials and lower rates of procurement from the downstream industries.

Europe

In European countries, the EPDM rubber price graph showcased a consistent fall in its trajectory. In this region, there was a considerable fall in the construction and other industrial activities that affected the overall demand for EPDM rubber negatively. In addition to this, the depreciation in the cost of feedstock materials such as ethylene and propylene also pushed the EPDM rubber price trend in a downward direction.

North America

The EPDM rubber price trend struggled with the overall weak momentum of the North American market throughout the third quarter of 2023. Due to the hike in gasoline prices and soaring rates of inflation, the prices of EPDM rubber found it difficult to maintain a growing trajectory. In addition to this, the falling dynamics of the feedstock market also heavily influenced the downfall despite the growing demand from the downstream automotive industries.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, the price trend of EPDM Rubber are estimated to oscillate as the demand from the end-user industries seems to be inclining, but other factors are restricting the positive movement of EPDM rubber prices.

EPDM Rubber Price Trend for the First Half of 2023

Asia

Ethylene Propylene Diene Monomer (EPDM) rubber prices stayed on a plunging trajectory in the initial quarters of the year 2023. EPDM prices averaged around 2700 USD/MT in June’23 in the Indian domestic market. As European inventories got oversaturated, the excess product was offshored to Asian markets at much cheaper rates than domestic prices. So, this collective overflow of supplies, coupled with muted demands from the downstream automotive and tire industries, pushed the EPDM rubber prices down in the Asian market.

Europe

EPDM Rubber prices in Europe had a mixed run in H1 2023. Q1 started with an almost stagnant price trend, but as downstream demands in the European market kept increasing, prices also started surging. The European manufacturers started churning out products at much faster rates to cater to the rising demands. But market offtakes started falling sharply in the middle of the second quarter, which reversed the rising price trends, so much so that the excess inventory stocks had to be dumped in Asian markets at much cheaper rates.

North America

The North American market witnessed an oscillating price pattern for EPDM rubber prices in H1 2023. Prices were low, swinging, but some hikes were observed in the middle of the first quarter as the downstream automotive industries increased their offtakes. But soon, the demands crashed, and the prices started plunging. Overall, EPDM Rubber prices declined by the end of the second quarter.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, the EPDM rubber prices are expected to remain unsettled in the coming quarter. Some hikes in price trends with the rise in demand are expected. Overall, the price trends will strive for equilibrium and stable supply-demand market dynamics.

EPDM Rubber Price Trend for the Second Half of 2022

Asia

The prices of EPDM rubber fluctuated throughout the third and fourth quarters of 2022 in the Asia-Pacific region. The prices in the third quarter declined majorly due to the increased industrial production cost, ample supply, and rise in inventories amid falling demand. In the fourth quarter, the demand from the end sector became more erratic, which deeply affected the pricing fundamentals. Thus, the price trends for EPDM rubber declined in the region.

Europe

During the initial months of the third quarter, the prices rose slightly but they fell in the subsequent months due to low demand from the downstream automotive and constriction sectors. The shortage of semiconductors in the global market led to the slowing down of the automotive industry. Another factor affecting the price trends for EPDM rubber was the increasing speculations of recession affecting the consumer’s confidence. This same trend continued in the fourth quarter and thus, the price trend fell gradually in the last two quarters of 2022.

North America

The initial rise in the prices just as seen in the European market followed by the fall was also observed in the North American market. The underperforming construction and automotive sector adversely affected the prices due to the semiconductor shortage. In the fourth quarter, the decreasing upstream and production costs further aided the declining prices.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, the prices of EPDM rubber are expected to oscillate in the upcoming quarter as it will be majorly affected by uncertainties in the demand sector and the rising speculations of a global recession.

EPDM Rubber Price Trend For the First Half of 2022

Asia

The price trends for EPDM rubber soared throughout the Asia-Pacific region during the said period. The robust demand from the downstream construction and automotive sector supported the high quotations of prices offered by the manufacturers. The cost of EPDM rubber averaged 3345 USD/MT in Q1.

The prices soared to an all-time high in Q2, given the geopolitical turbulence and pandemic-related shutdowns in China. With the reduced industrial output along with complex logistics and inflated freight charges, the prices of EPDM rubber surged, averaging 3500 USD/MT towards the end of Q2.

Europe

The European domestic market closely mimicked its Asian counterpart. The energy crisis triggered by the Russian invasion of Ukraine led to high-cost inflation in Europe. The surging power consumption rates amid limited inventories and solid downstream demand favoured the inflated prices of EPDM rubber, averaging 3610 USD/MT. However, the exports declined due to the disruptions in the Black Sea area. The manufacturers faced the double whammy of high feedstock prices and demand destruction. EPDM rubber prices averaged 4168 USD/MT during the end of Q2.

North America

EPDM rubber prices hit an all-time high in the US domestic market due to supply disruptions, inflated freight prices, labour shortages and poor logistics. However, despite these hindrances, the demand from the downstream construction and automotive sector kept steady. The prices of EPDM rubber averaged 4067 USD/MT towards the end of Q2.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, EPDM rubber prices are expected to plateau and stabilize in the upcoming months. With the upliftment of covid related shutdowns and relaxing oil prices, the industrial production rates will likely increase, leading to overflowing inventories. Hence, amid the weak market sentiments, the prices are likely to decrease.

Procurement Resource provides latest prices of EPDM Rubber. Each price database is tied to a user-friendly graphing tool dating back to 2014, which provides a range of functionalities: configuration of price series over user defined time period; comparison of product movements across countries; customisation of price currencies and unit; extraction of price data as excel files to be used offline.