Ethylene Vinyl Acetate Price Trend and Forecast

Regional Price Overview

Get the latest insights on price movement and trend analysis of Ethylene Vinyl Acetate (EVA) in different regions across the world (Asia, Europe, North America, Latin America, and the Middle East & Africa).

Ethylene Vinyl Acetate Price Trend for the Q1 of 2024

Asia

The petrochemical industry in Asia faces prolonged shipment delays and increased freight costs following attacks on commercial vessels in the Gulf of Suez and the Red Sea, which resulted in rising uncertainties in the ethylene vinyl acetate prices. Major container carriers were thus diverting ships away from the affected routes. These diversions lead to longer journey times and higher fuel requirements, raising concerns about increased supply chain disruptions.

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The freight costs surge, impacting trade routes from Asia to Europe, the Middle East, and North America. The crisis was further accelerated by the inclination of crude oil prices and the limited support from the feedstock industries. However, the domestic petrochemical and other relative sectors presented suitable demand for ethylene vinyl acetate throughout the first quarter of 2024 despite the industrial slowdown in China, which somehow kept the pricing trajectory of ethylene vinyl acetate above the red zone.

Europe

The European market for ethylene vinyl acetate experienced a slight upswing in the pricing trend due to rising upstream crude oil prices. Increased operating expenses and disruptions in the Red Sea led to a further decline in production and stocks of ethylene vinyl acetate. Additionally, the freight charges remained high as carriers diverted ships from the Suez Canal, prolonging transit times.

On the other hand, the overseas imports in the region showed a downtrend and in view of challenging trading conditions, the downstream industries moved towards domestic produce. The most significant impact was adhered to by the reduction of the influx of Chinese ethylene vinyl acetate volumes as they raised the competitive spirit of the market. However, with the blockage of the trade routes and the advent of the Chinese New Year, the demand for Asian/Chinese imports declined. This helped the in-house dealers improve their price quotations of ethylene vinyl acetate.

North America

In the US domestic market, the ethylene vinyl acetate sector faced weakened demand from downstream industries amid rising reluctance towards new purchases due to surplus material availability, notably in consumer markets like China, Singapore, and India. The geopolitical tensions, such as the Israel-Gaza conflict, further added to this uncertainty, raising concerns about the ongoing supply chain disruptions.

Throughout the quarter, production costs decreased with a drop in upstream vinyl acetate monomer prices, extending a bleak outlook for the ethylene vinyl acetate price trend. The destocking practices were prominent as consumers avoided excess ethylene vinyl acetate inventories, compounded by reduced industrial activity during holidays. Consequently, businesses slowed or suspended operations, leading to decreased demand and sluggish market transactions.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, the price trend of Ethylene Vinyl Acetate is expected to be driven by the uptrend in the demand from the downstream industries and improvement in the export-import volumes of the Asian countries.

Ethylene Vinyl Acetate (EVA) Price Trend for the October - December of 2023

Asia

The Asian Ethylene Vinyl Acetate (EVA) market trend for Q4’23 were largely observed to be fluctuating at the lower end of the price graph. The Chinese market experienced an overall depreciation of about 5% over the three months of quarter four of 2023. The monthly average spot prices in the Chinese market went from about 1779 USD/MT in October’23 to around 1690 USD/MT in December’23.

These price trend were largely influenced by the falling trend of the feedstock ethylene and vinyl acetate market prices. Further, during the same time, the inventories were already overstocked, and because of that, the suppliers discounted the prices in order to maintain positive stock movement in the Asian domestic markets as the international orders were already on a decline. So, overall, low-wavering price trend were observed.

Europe

Replicating the Asian Ethylene Vinyl Acetate markets, the European market trend were also observed to be wavering within narrow limits during the said period. The logistic disturbances caused by the Russian and Israeli wars hurdled the offshore trades in the EVA market, and the dull demands in the domestic market pushed the prices down.

North America

In the North American Ethylene Vinyl Acetate market, the holiday season resulted in a substantial dip in demands from the consuming industries. Thus, the prices were observed to be wavering at the lower end of the curve; occasionally, some minor short-lived peaks were also seen.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, the future projections look positive for the Ethylene Vinyl Acetate market. However, the demand outlook suggests narrow-ranged fluctuations in the prices in the coming quarter as well.

Ethylene Vinyl Acetate Price Trend for the July-September of 2023

Asia

The inclination in the price trend of ethylene vinyl acetate during the first half of the third quarter was supported by the rise in the cost of feedstock materials and inclination in the construction and manufacturing activities. The significant improvement in the prices was also a consequence of the rising cost of coal, which in turn raised the production costs. Towards the end of the quarter, the prices of ethylene vinyl acetate, however, took a fall as the weak demand from the downstream industries played a significant role in dictating the pricing fundamentals.

Europe

The cost of imports of ethylene vinyl acetate in the European countries declined gradually in the third quarter, raising competition in the market. Further, the overall manufacturing sector also witnessed a significant contraction, hampering the sentiments of the ethylene vinyl acetate market. In addition to this, the downstream packaging, adhesives, and other related industries also failed to support the growth of ethylene vinyl acetate price trend.

North America

The movement of the ethylene vinyl acetate price graph in North America remained weak throughout the third quarter of 2023. The major share in keeping the prices of ethylene vinyl acetate in the negative zone was the weak demand from the downstream industries. The cost of crude oil and the cautious purchasing approach adopted by the consumers hampered the momentum of ethylene vinyl acetate prices.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, the price trend of Ethylene Vinyl Acetate are estimated to experience a gradual incline as the demand for ethylene vinyl acetate will likely improve in the upcoming quarters.

Ethylene Vinyl Acetate (EVA) Price Trend for the First Half of 2023

Asia

The Asian Ethylene Vinyl Acetate (EVA) market observed a fluctuating, low-swinging trend in H1 2023. The South Korea-based producer Lotte changed its offer prices of 18% grade EVA from 2000 USD/MT (CIF NS, Mumbai) in February to 1400 USD/MT (CIF NS, Mumbai) in June’23. The overburdened markets lacked any catalyst to stimulate purchasing enthusiasm.

Many exporters slashed their rates owing to poor demands exerting pressures on the profit margins of importers and stockists. A call for sustainable and biodegradable packaging solutions was also one major reason for decreased demand. And unlike other regions, Asia continued to have access to discounted oil supplies from Russia, despite the fear of sanctions and resistance from the West. India and China continued to import cheaper Russian oil, keeping the upstream costs at bay.

Europe

The European EVA market showed mixed price trend in H1 2023. The prices took an expected plunge in the first quarter as the freight charges were reduced and supply chains normalized. High inflation caused by the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war increased prices to unsustainable highs, especially for petrochemical products. As the demand diminished, the European EVA market strived for normalcy resulting in this declining trend. However, towards the end of Q1, the prices increased momentarily, only to fall again in the second quarter as the market’s bearish sentiments did not support the rising sentiments.

North America

The American market replicated the global declining sentiment for Ethylene Vinyl Acetate (EVA) prices in H1 2023. The stabilized natural gas and energy prices, along with dampened market demands, were the major reasons behind the downfall. Just like the European market, the American market utilized the first half of the year 2023 to come out of the after-effects of the energy crisis unveiled in 2022.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, the price trend for Ethylene Vinyl Acetate are expected to remain unsettled in the coming months. The market offtakes will guide the peaks and fluctuations, given all other factors remain subsided.

Ethylene Vinyl Acetate (EVA) Price Trend for Second Half of 2022

Asia

The price trend for ethylene vinyl acetate were kept on the lower side of the scale during the second half of 2022. The government-mandated shutdowns, coupled with the power rationing norms, disrupted the operational rates of industries. However, no simultaneous rise in prices was seen owing to demand destruction. The market was flooded with products with no active offtakes from the downstream adhesives, paints, and automotive sectors. The depreciation of the currency, rising inflation, and lacklustre trading atmosphere were some of the reasons behind the downfall of EVA prices.

Europe

The European market completely mimicked the downward trend observed in the Asian market. The high production costs and over-saturated market amid feeble demand caused the manufacturers to lower their quotations in hopes of some positive product movement. Further, as the trade and supply chains normalized, the cheap imports from the Asian market aided the lowered trajectory of EVA prices.

North America

With central banks hiking the interest rates in fear of a global recession, the purchasing power of the consumers contracted. Many plants shut down operations to restore the supply-demand dynamics and stabilize the domestic EVA prices. However, all the efforts were in vain as the downstream sector remained stagnant, and no active hoarding sentiment amongst the buyers was seen.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, the price trend for EVA are expected to decline in the coming quarter. As the world battles a global economic downturn, trading activities are kept to a bare minimum, given the already saturated markets and feeble demands.

Ethylene Vinyl Acetate (EVA) Price Trend For the First Half of 2022

Asia

Ethylene Vinyl Acetate (EVA) prices varied throughout the Asian market. During the first quarter, while the prices stood firm in the Chinese and Indian markets, they soared in Thai and Korean markets owing to intense domestic demands. The price of EVA averaged 2310 USD/MT FOB Bangkok in Thailand during the first quarter.

While in the Chinese market, EVA prices remained firm owing to the tight market supplies and rising petrochemical prices, providing the much-needed supply side support. However, the sluggish demand from the downstream sector because of the Chinese Lunar New Year celebrations coupled with the rising cases of covid-19 caused the prices to remain afloat despite the surging upstream cost support.

During the second quarter, crude oil prices surged due to the continuing geopolitical conflict which affected the petrochemical industry across Asia. The feedstock ethylene and acetic acid prices fell owing to the cautious trading activity in the Chinese market.

EVA prices rose slightly and then plateaued due to the buoyant demand from the photovoltaic cell industry despite the economic downturn. Feedstock ethylene prices averaged 1166-1176 USD/MT CFR Northeast Asia and 1216-1226 USD/MT CFR Southeast Asia in the said quarter, while acetic acid averaged 718 USD/MT.

Europe

The European EVA market is experiencing volatility due to the constricted supplies and surging prices owing to the global economic backlash unleashed by the Russian aggression in Ukraine. During the first quarter, EVA price trend tipped towards the higher side because of the soaring crude oil/natural gas prices, thereby affecting the prices of petrochemicals. Along with the high feedstock prices and sturdy demand for EVA foam from the downstream sectors, the prices averaged 5320 USD/MT FD Hamburg.

With the European embargo against Russia, Ethylene Vinyl Acetate prices reached a new maximum during the second quarter. The western retaliatory sanctions triggered an acute energy crisis in Europe, giving rise to unparalleled inflation. Prices exploded because of the heightened freight charges, tight supplies, and equally sturdy downstream demand. The price of feedstock acetic acid averaged 1851-1975 USD/MT, and that of ethylene averaged 1759-1768 USD/MT FD Northwest Europe during the second quarter.

North America

EVA prices remained inflated in the US domestic market throughout the first quarter. The solid demand from the textile and packaging sectors, coupled with the limited supply and inventories, provided the perfect momentum for prices to explode exponentially in the domestic market. The price of EVA averaged 2793 USD/MT FOB Texas during the said quarter.

The prices inclined steadily in the second quarter owing to the soaring crude oil and natural gas costs amid the European embargo on Russia. Many manufacturers enforced force majeure, which further caused the prices to rise domestically and internationally. The price of feedstock ethylene averaged FD 25.25 US Cents/lb in the said quarter.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, are prices of EVA are expected to decrease in the coming months. The reduced offtakes, given the inflationary pricing, led to baulking of buyers in their respective markets. Also, the looming speculations of global recession amid the interest rate hikes by central banks worldwide negatively impacted the market dynamics.

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