Gum Rosin Price Trend and Forecast

Regional Price Overview

Get the latest insights on price movement and trend analysis of Gum Rosin in different regions across the world (Asia, Europe, North America, Latin America, and the Middle East & Africa).

Gum Rosin Price Trend for the Q1 of 2024

Asia

Gum rosin is produced from the resin collected from the pine trees. It is rich in abietic acid and is used as an adhesive and is commonly used in the paper and packaging industry as well. The market performance of gum rosin has been underwhelming in the previous year because of lackluster demand. Disappointed with the downfall in market prices in the previous year, the suppliers cut down the available gum rosin supplies in the international market during the first quarter of 2024.

Gum Rosin Price Chart

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During the given period of Q1’24 the market demands did not see any significant changes and remained underwhelming and subdued for the major part of it. However, there was a supply crunch in the market this time. After such a steep downfall in the market, the suppliers lost interest and notably reduced the supply volumes. This shift in the supply outlook did counterbalance the lackluster demands a little. Thus, the price graph, though, faced southward and almost plateaued, particularly in the Chinese gum rosin market. Conclusively, a steady and stable market run was witnessed.

Europe

The situation in the European gum rosin market was also not much different from the Asian gum rosin market. The market demands were found to be largely trembling here as well. Since the Russia and Ukraine war began, the region has been hit by massive economic inflation, and the consumption patterns have experienced significant shifts. The expenditures became more necessity and experience centric. With this, the gum rosin suppliers barely received any orders, and the prices also remained southward facing for most of the said period.

North America

As discussed in the Asian and European markets the supply of Brazilian pine oleoresin decreased in the American market as well during the first quarter of 2024. Because of the tight margins and declining selling prices, many smaller producers left the market, citing poor tapping economics. In key producing regions like Sao Paulo and southern Brazil, lower prices have discouraged workers, leading to reduced availability.

Forest owners who lease areas to producers also felt the impact; some ended lease agreements due to unproductive conditions. Overall, pine oleoresin supply for the 2023-24 tapping season estimatedly dropped by 20-30%. With this, temporary and marginal price upliftment was achieved, but they were not sustainable. Additionally, declining exports of gum rosin further illustrate the challenges faced by the Brazilian pine oleoresin producers.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, the Gum Rosin price trends are likely to remain downward tilted in the next quarter as well. Even with the current supply crunch, the market demands are way too low.

Gum Rosin Price Trend for the October - December of 2023

Asia

After stumbling throughout the fourth quarter of 2023, the gum rosin prices eventually declined as the year and quarter approached its end. It was anticipated that the seasonal fluctuations would benefit the gum rosin market, but the abundance of harvest surpassed the demand from the downstream pharmaceutical and food sectors. Along with the domestic players, the rate of procurement from the overseas industries also remained muted during most of the part of the quarter and thus resulted in the southward movement of gum rosin prices.

Europe

Europe is one of the major importers of gum rosin raw materials, for whom the fourth quarter did not yield any favorable results. The decline in the prices of gum rosin can also be attributed to the weak dynamics of the market and the lack of confidence of consumers in the market.

The downstream pharmaceutical and food & beverage industries also struggled with their internal losses as the adverse of prolonged inflation and excessive supply led to a downturn in market momentum and eventually pushed the gum rosin into a downward spiral.

North America

The scenario of gum rosin price trend in North America was similar to what was observed in the Asian and European markets. The regional demand also fell short in front of the rising level of inventories.

Along with Europe, the US is also a major importer of gum rosin and its raw materials, but in the last quarter, the import volumes had to be adjusted in accordance with the momentum of downstream industries, which eventually did not work in favor of the trading sector and thus led to the downward movement of gum rosin price trend.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, the price trend of Gum Rosin are expected to struggle as there are minimal to no signs of revival of downstream pharmaceutical and food sector procurement rates for gum rosin and related products.

Gum Rosin Price trend for the July-September of 2023

Asia

The price trend for gum rosin registered a downward trajectory in the Asia-Pacific region during the third quarter of 2023. China still struggled to revive its manufacturing to the pre-covid levels, which was further affected by the geopolitical conflicts hampering international trade. The high inflation levels affected the purchasing capacities of the market players.

The lowering demands reflected the skeptical attitude of the buyers deeply impacted the price trend of gum rosin. Moreover, the weak demands posed by the downstream paints, coating, and adhesives sectors were being easily catered via the present inventories. Hence, the price graph of gum rosin witnessed decreased activity throughout Q3’23.

Europe

In line with its Asian counterpart, the price trend for gum rosin declined in the European regional markets. The reduced demands, coupled with overflowing inventories, caused the price graph of gum rosin to move southwards. The geopolitical conflicts in its backyard resulted in an economic backlash in the European region.

The runaway inflation, coupled with the necessary centric purchasing activities of the consumers, disrupted the market fundamentals drastically. Though some respite was seen in the market with the opening of alternative trade routes, the influx of cheap goods from China caused the suppliers to indulge in unhealthy competition, causing the price trend to dwindle further.

North America

The North American market mimicked the global trend in the gum rosin market during the discussed period. The overstocked inventories amid falling downstream demands affected the pricing fundamentals of the market. Further, the weak demands from the struggling European and Asian markets added to the downward movement of gum rosin prices. Even the maintenance shutdowns leading to output cuts did not have any affect as the inventories were well overstocked and easily catered towards any feeble demand posed.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, the price trend of Gum Rosin are likely to remain oscillating in the coming months, given the current uncertainties in the downstream demands and global economy.

Gum Rosin Price Trend for the First Half of 2023

Asia

Gum rosin prices fluctuated in the first and second quarters of 2023 as the Asian market suffered from the problem of oversupply. In the first quarter, manufacturers were forced to cut down their operation rates due to the weak purchasing potential of buyers. In addition, the building pressure from the hiking interest rates and slow movement of the gum rosin market in both domestic and international sectors hampered the price trend.

In addition to this, the second quarter also suffered from the hike in feedstock prices along with the constriction in manufacturing activities due to labor strikes. The downstream market in this quarter also failed to produce adequate demand to support the prices, and as a result, the price trend of gum rosin fell southwards.

Europe

A stable and stagnant trend in gum rosin prices was observed in the first quarter of 2023 in the European market. The prices in this quarter were supported by the demand from the end-user industries. In addition to this, sufficient availability of inventories and imports from the Asian region helped to balance the rising demand.

However, the second quarter did not fall into these steps as the hike in the level of inventories caused overstocking of the product and thus negatively impacted the price trend of gum rosin. The demand from downstream industries also slowed down due to weak market conditions, which eventually led the price trend of gum rosin to fall down.

North America

The North American market of gum rosin showcased mixed sentiments in the first and second quarters of 2023. The weak movement of paints and coatings, adhesives, and related industries led to the downfall of the prices.

There was some slight improvement in the end months of the first quarter and initial months of the second quarter due to an increased interest of buyers, but this trend could not sustain for long as prices declined again. The automotive and construction sector saw a major reduction in demand in this quarter. Along with this, the labor strikes and shutting down of ports, and a significant rise in the level of inventories, caused the price trend of gum rosin to fall further.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, Gum rosin prices are estimated to showcase a declining trajectory as the market sentiments of the downstream industries seem weak.

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