In the second half of 2025, global hazelnut prices experienced significant fluctuations. At the start of this period, prices surged sharply as frost in Turkey, the largest hazelnut producer, severely reduced crop yields. This sudden shortage affected the global market, pushing buyers to compete for limited supplies. Prices reached record levels, creating concerns for chocolate manufacturers and other major buyers dependent on Turkish hazelnuts.
As the harvest progressed, the extreme price levels began to ease. Surpluses from previous years and better than expected harvests in other producing countries helped stabilize supply to some extent. Additionally, some traders and growers had to sell stock quickly to cover debts or meet financial obligations, which temporarily increased market supply and caused prices to fall.
By mid-October, global demand started to slow. High prices discouraged purchases, and many buyers, including large food and chocolate producers, held off on buying, waiting for the market to settle. The combination of cautious demand and gradually increasing supply led to a moderate decline in prices, both in spot markets and forward contracts. Overall, the market moved from an initial sharp surge caused by weather disruptions to a more balanced phase, reflecting the interplay between limited supply, financial pressures, and buyer caution.