Hot Rolled Coil Price Trend and Forecast
Get the latest insights on price movement and trend analysis of Hot Rolled Steel Coil in different regions across the world (Asia, Europe, North America, Latin America, and the Middle East & Africa).
Hot Rolled Coil Price Trend for the First Half of 2024
Product | Category | Region | Price | Time Period |
Hot Rolled Coil | Energy, Metals and Minerals | China | 570 USD/MT | January’24 |
Hot Rolled Coil | Energy, Metals and Minerals | China | 529 USD/MT | June’24 |
Hot Rolled Coil | Energy, Metals and Minerals | India | 55600 INR/MT | March 2024 |
Stay updated with the latest Hot Rolled Coil (PET) prices, historical data, and tailored regional analysis
Asia
Hot Rolled Coil or HRC is a type of steel product that is produced by heating steel above its recrystallization temperature and then rolling it into coils. HRC is capaciously consumed in the construction, manufacturing, and automotive industries. Since HRC is made from steel, the prices are often found following the feedstock steel prices along with the downstream demands from the consuming sectors.
During the second quarter of the year 2024, the hot rolled coils’ price-performance was observed to be below average in the Asian markets, especially the Chinese market; the monthly average prices went from about 570 USD/MT in January’24 to around 529 USD/MT in June’24. This marked a decline of approximately 7% in the Chinese HRC market over the said span of six months.
Hot Rolled Coil Price Chart
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The Chinese market began the year on a lower note since the inventories had already bulked up with excess stocks since the beginning. The Real Estate construction sector was already struggling in the country. Overall, a dull market performance was witnessed for hot rolled coils in the Asian markets.
Europe
The European HRC industry behaved in a varying manner throughout the first half of the year 2024; the prices had a positive start in January. Limited supply kept European steel hot-rolled coil (HRC) prices elevated despite subdued buying, with Northern European prices continuing to climb slowly but traded volumes remaining limited. Buyers were only purchasing necessary volumes to avoid building stocks.
Deals for domestically produced HRC were mostly at the lower end of the price range. Demand from most end-user sectors, except the automotive industry, remained weak. As the quarters shifted, the price graph steadily became a little flattened. Prices got borderline stability at the beginning of the second quarter.
The trading activity was minimal due to public holidays in several EU states. Northern European mills aimed to keep spot prices high in anticipation of negotiations with the automotive industry for the second half of 2024, thus resisting discounts despite low demand. However, the suppliers were unable to sustain this momentum for longer times. Since the trade volumes remained undesirably low, the suppliers were forced to discount prices around the end of the second quarter because of high stock volumes and persistently low demands.
North America
Hot-rolled coil (HRC) prices in the US declined throughout the first two quarters of the year 2024. The North American market experienced the largest decline, with prices falling substantially since the beginning of the year. Despite a brief increase in mid-March, driven by minimum price targets set by steelmakers like Cleveland-Cliffs and Nucor, the overall trend has been downward. Consumers have refrained from purchasing amid uncertain demand prospects, leading to downward price adjustments.
Analyst Insight
According to Procurement Resource, given the current state of the HRC market, the manufacturers might undertake production cuts in the coming months to attempt to stabilize the global hot rolled coil markets. Not much improvement is anticipated in prices going forward.
Hot Rolled Coil Price Trend for the Second Half of 2023
Asia
The H2 of 2023 began with the dull momentum of downstream industries, particularly the automotive and construction sectors, which resulted in the downfall of hot rolled coil prices throughout the third and fourth quarters. Another cause of the subdued market trend in the hot rolled coil market was the stagnancy in the growth of the industrial sector and rising inventory levels.
The economic challenges and rising interest rates further intensified the growing concerns of the traders. During the fourth quarter, consumer sentiments and the other parameters of the market remained on the lower end but the rise in production costs supported the hot rolled coil prices.
Europe
The European countries in the third quarter witnessed a rise in the supply of raw materials required in industrial production of hot rolled coil along with a fall in consumer demand. This imbalance in the supply and demand sectors and the sudden uptick in production cost raised traders' concerns as the market winds moved south. As compared to the third quarter, the fourth quarter trend of hot rolled coil prices was much more stable. Although surplus availability of the product remained a hot topic among the traders, movements in the downstream industries presented positive sentiments.
North America
Throughout the third and fourth quarters of 2023, the hot rolled coil price trend experienced a regular downward trend, compounded by several market parameters. The foremost of these is the reduction in purchase offers and limited spending budget of the consumers amid growing concerns about the economic stability of the region. The cautionary approach of the automotive industries and labor strikes further intensified the struggling market dynamics.
Analyst Insight
According to Procurement Resource, the price trend of Hot Rolled Coil is expected to be on the lower end of the spectrum as the global fluctuations in the functioning of the downstream industries present a bleak condition of the market.
Hot Rolled Coil Price Trend for the First Half of 2023
Asia
The Chinese manufacturing sector was supported by the revival of infrastructure and strong production of hot rolled steel coils in the initial months of the first quarter. Some of the manufacturing units went under maintenance shut down in the middle of this quarter, which negatively affected the production rates, and due to high demand, the prices of hot rolled steel coils inclined.
The second quarter, however, struggled with the decline in the cost of feedstocks, festival season, and extreme rainfall that hampered the demand and consumption rates of consumers. These factors, along with the hike in inflation, resulted in the negative movement of hot rolled steel coils prices.
Europe
The first quarter witnessed a significant surge in the price trend of hot-rolled steel coils in European countries. The surge was accelerated by the limited supply and high demand from the construction and automobile industries. The traders also enjoyed the benefit of a lack of imports that decreased the competition in the market.
The initial months of the second quarter also worked on the same path. The second half of the second quarter, however, struggled with the declining economic trajectory and falling demand from the construction and automobile sectors, leading to the decline in the prices of hot rolled steel coils.
North America
The first quarter of hot rolled steel coils prices imitated the trend shown in the European and Asia-Pacific countries. In the US, the trend inclined with the support of rising prices of feedstock materials and an increase in the number of inquiries from the downstream sectors. The second half of the second quarter witnessed a change in winds as the plunging economic conditions increased instability in the prices of hot rolled steel coils that further worsened the debt crisis and inflation rate hike. The consumers, thus, were reluctant to place orders in bulk, resulting in a decline in the price trend of hot rolled steel coils.
Analyst Insight
According to Procurement Resource, the price trend of Hot Rolled Steel Coils is expected to follow a southwards trajectory due to the decline in consumer demand and weak growth of the economy.
Procurement Resource provides latest prices of Hot Rolled Coil. Each price database is tied to a user-friendly graphing tool dating back to 2014, which provides a range of functionalities: configuration of price series over user defined time period; comparison of product movements across countries; customisation of price currencies and unit; extraction of price data as excel files to be used offline.
Hot rolled coil is basically a moulded form of steel. It basically includes a mill process which involves rolling of steel at a high temperature (generally at a temperature over 1700° F), which is above the steel's recrystallisation temperature. When steel is above its recrystallisation temperature, Hot rolled coil is formed, and thus, given this shape. It is often utilised in the manufacturing of staircases. Further, it can be embossed with different patterns such as the teardrop pattern to impart excellent anti-slip properties to the product.
Report Features | Details |
Product Name | Hot Rolled Coil |
Industrial Uses | Construction, Shipping, Energy, Packaging, Consumer Appliances Industry, Housing, Automotive |
Supplier Database | Tata Steel Limited, ArcelorMittal S.A., Nippon Steel Corporation, Jindal Steel & Power Ltd., Saudi Basic Industries Corporation (SABIC), POSCO |
Region/Countries Covered | Asia Pacific: China, India, Indonesia, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Japan, Philippines, Vietnam, Iran, Thailand, South Korea, Iraq, Saudi Arabia, Malaysia, Nepal, Taiwan, Sri Lanka, UAE, Israel, Hongkong, Singapore, Oman, Kuwait, Qatar, Australia, and New Zealand Europe: Germany, France, United Kingdom, Italy, Spain, Russia, Turkey, Netherlands, Poland, Sweden, Belgium, Austria, Ireland Switzerland, Norway, Denmark, Romania, Finland, Czech Republic, Portugal and Greece North America: United States and Canada Latin America: Brazil, Mexico, Argentina, Columbia, Chile, Ecuador, and Peru Africa: South Africa, Nigeria, Egypt, Algeria, Morocco |
Currency | US$ (Data can also be provided in local currency) |
Supplier Database Availability | Yes |
Customization Scope | The report can be customized as per the requirements of the customer |
Post-Sale Analyst Support | 360-degree analyst support after report delivery |
Note: Our supplier search experts can assist your procurement teams in compiling and validating a list of suppliers indicating they have products, services, and capabilities that meet your company's needs.
In metalworking, rolling is a metal forming method in which metal stock is passed through one or more pairs of rolls to decrease its thickness and to make it uniform. The rolling process is known as hot rolling if the temperature at which the metal is being rolled is above its recrystallisation point.
Thus, during the hot rolling of steel, it is transformed into coil a shaped product upon reaching above its recrystallisation point, thus, resulting in the formation of Hot Rolled Coil.
The displayed pricing data is derived through weighted average purchase price, including contract and spot transactions at the specified locations unless otherwise stated. The information provided comes from the compilation and processing of commercial data officially reported for each nation (i.e. government agencies, external trade bodies, and industry publications).
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