During the fourth quarter of 2025, the global hot rolled coil market showed mixed trends across regions, shaped mainly by supply, trade policies, and uneven demand recovery.
In the United States, HRC prices moved upward during the quarter. Domestic producers continued to announce weekly increases, supported by controlled supply and steady mill order books. Lead times remained stable, which helped producers maintain pricing discipline. While demand from key sectors such as construction and manufacturing was not strong, buyers accepted higher offers due to limited spot availability and reduced imports.
In Europe, HRC prices remained mostly stable with a slight upward trend toward the end of the quarter. The market reacted strongly to proposed changes in steel import rules, including tighter quotas and stricter origin checks. These measures slowed import arrivals and improved sentiment for domestic mills. However, real demand stayed weak, especially from downstream industries, which capped any major price rise.
In Asia, HRC prices stayed under pressure. In China and India, demand remained soft due to seasonal slowdown and high supply levels. Indian mills focused more on exports as domestic sales stayed slow, but competition in overseas markets kept prices low.