Get the latest insights on price movement and trends analysis of Lead in different regions across the world (Asia, Europe, North America, Latin America, and the Middle East & Africa).
Lead Price Trends for the First Half of 2023
Lead prices fluctuated in the first half of the year 2023 in the Asian markets, especially the Indian market. The first quarter was more or less stable as the prices dipped and rose back within an extremely narrow margin. However, the second quarter witnessed a marginal fall. With an overall approximate 2% depreciation, the average monthly prices in India went from about 2345 USD/MT in January’23 to around 2298 USD/MT in June’23 in the Indian domestic market.
These market trendss suggest moderate industrial activity along with a healthy supply and demand balance. Since the trade sentiments have been pivoting to India to fulfill the global supply gaps, trading activities have been rising in the lucrative consumer market.
Mimicking the Asian market, the lead price trendss oscillated within a limited range in the European market as well. The trade consequences of the Russia and Ukraine conflict were steadily subsiding. Supply chains were being restored, and manufacturing activities were also warming up slowly. However, the pace of recovery was still in question since the end consumer demands were still struggling.
A long run of inflation had worn out the purchasing capacities. After some upward jumps in the first quarter, the lead prices decelerated by approximately 4% and went down from the monthly spot average of around 2188 USD/MT in January’23 to about 2086 USD/MT in June’23. Overall, mixed market sentiments were observed.
According to Procurement Resource, improvement is expected in the lead market trendss going forward since the struggling market will seek normalization.
Lead Price trends for the Q2, Q3 and Q4 of 2022
Lead is a soft, grey, and malleable metal located in the carbon group of the periodic table. The fundamental usage of lead comes in making batteries. Other sectors like cable, machinery, manufacturing, ship making, radiation, testing, etc., also aid the lead market demands. During the said period of 2022, the lead prices fluctuated continuously in the global markets.
The second quarter was a little firm since the lockdown was revoked in China, and the demands saw a marginal rise. However, the third quarter again saw a decline in prices as the recovery was slow and industrial consumption was still uncertain. The lead prices almost plateaued by the time the fourth quarter arrived. The demands were driving these narrow-ranged price fluctuations in the lead market.
According to Procurement Resource, given the slow pace of global industrial development, not much improvement is anticipated in the global lead market.
For the First Quarter of 2022
Domestic lead prices fell after the Chinese New Year holidays, dragged down by falling LME lead, and spot lead prices fell below 15,000 RMB/MT to 14,800 RMB/MT. Later, prices recovered due to the cost support of secondary lead, and they rose at the end of the month as a result of the geopolitical conflict between Russia and Ukraine.
The Russia-Ukraine war tightened energy supply, and higher raw material costs due to the VAT on lead-acid battery scrap kept lead prices rising into March. The price of base metals rose across the board amid strong bullish sentiment, with nickel leading the way.On March 8, the LME and most-traded SHFE lead contract both reached highs of 2,700 USD/MT and 16,465 RMB/MT, respectively. After the LME and SHFE tightened regulations to stem the irrational price surge, base metals prices fell and were once again dominated by fundamentals.
For the Fourth Quarter of 2021
In Q4 2021, Chinese ingot average prices were recorded at 2350 USD/MT. As stockpiles declined, refined lead prices jumped almost 4% in the final week of December, but lead prices had already achieved their peak. Several smelters of this metal were executing maintenance operations, resulting in smaller ingot inventories. As a result, prices increased, but now that secondary smelters are resuming operations, lead prices may be under pressure.
In the final quarter, average lead prices were recorded at 2255 USD/MT. Metals production was hampered by a lack of electricity and exorbitant costs in Europe, which drove up LME prices of the metal and compensated for losses during the Chinese New Year break. For a week, Europe's power supply was short, while LME lead supplies remained stable, despite China's planned lead ingot exports to Europe. The LME price stayed unchanged at 2,300 USD/MT.
China's rapid expansion in inventories was spurred by aggressive secondary lead capacity development and significant tolling activity at Chinese smelters. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's warehouse stockpiles hit new highs this year, reaching 200,000 MT. Increased price fluctuation and smelter outages generated shortages abroad, but high shipping charges and container constraints kept the surplus in China.
Physical premiums in the US reached multi-year highs, while supplies in the LME warehouse network reaching 12-year lows. According to the worldwide supply-demand model, the refined lead market dynamics will gradually rebalance during 2022, following the minor surplus that developed in China this year.
For First, Second and Third Quarters of 2021
In the first half of 2021, the average price of ingot was 2360 USD/MT in China. The country shipped 15,545 metric tonnes of refined lead in September, the greatest volume (shipment) since 2007. Inventories reached a new high in 2018, placing a lot of strain on the supply side.
However, as delivery sources dried up and demand slowed during the off-season, stockpiles of final products at battery manufacturers continued to build in 2021. Users further downstream made low-cost purchases. Primary smelters of this metal benefited the most from byproducts as the TCs continued to fall. Although Jinli was being serviced, the production remained unaltered.
The market price for the first half of the year was recorded at 2200 USD/MT. An increase in usage was witnessed in Europe. Lead prices had grown by more than 7% on the international market since the beginning of the year, but they had fallen by the end of the year as supplies improved. In the second half of 2021, increased recycling of vehicle batteries boosted secondary lead production or recycling.
Despite the fact that the United States contributes for only 13% of global demand, the end of COVID-19 lockdowns increased the metal’s consumption as motorists sought replacements for lead-acid batteries that had died after extended periods of inactivity. The metal’s pricing forecast for the year was increased to 2,200 USD/MT from 2,125 USD/MT, citing the average price of 2,316 USD/MT in November and December. Rising vehicle prices began to have an impact on worldwide automobile manufacturing during the next several months, stopping the rise in consumption.
For the Year 2020
In 2020, average lead ingot prices were recorded at 2135 USD/MT in China. Because of increased output in the automobile sector, which pushed demand for new batteries, domestic lead scrap and ingot prices in India climbed by 1-3% in August 2020. A 3% increase in formal three-month LME prices to 1,981 USD/MT also helped strengthen domestic pricing.
The smelters in Mumbai and Delhi increased output to meet surging demand from the automobile industry. Automakers predicted pent-up demand over India's upcoming Christmas season. With more demand on the horizon, smelters raised bids steadily, resulting in a price increase of 3,000-4,000 INR/MT in cities like as Mumbai and Delhi. Since mid-July, the price of re-melted and purified lead had been rising, placing ingot makers in a good position.
In 2020, average lead prices were 1860 USD/MT in Europe. The metal had been missed previously and was now slipping behind. On the other hand, the pace and strength of the metal’s rally had been fairly unexpected. Berzelius Stolberg, Europe's largest primary lead smelter, declared in December 2020 that metal supply from its facilities in western Germany would be halted due to force majeure.
The US market tightened after Doe Run closed its smelter in Herculaneum, Missouri, in 2013 and Glencore closed its Brunswick smelter in Canada in late 2019. During and after the Covid-19 epidemic, labour shortages, general material scarcity, transportation limits, and the high cost of freight overseas worsened the tension. As a result of these reasons, premiums remained high.
The increase in the price came at a time when the lead and battery supply chain was struggling to refill automotive lead battery inventories in various parts of the world. Despite new environmental regulations, the use of refined lead in the global automotive industry has continued to grow in the United States.
Procurement Resource provides latest prices of Lead. Each price database is tied to a user-friendly graphing tool dating back to 2014, which provides a range of functionalities: configuration of price series over user defined time period; comparison of product movements across countries; customisation of price currencies and unit; extraction of price data as excel files to be used offline.
In appearance, Lead is a metallic gray element which has many different applications. Being soft and malleable, it has low melting point. It is widely utilised in the production of batteries, fusible alloys, ammunition, metal products (solder and pipes), as well as in the devices to shield X-rays.
|Industrial Uses||Batteries, Cable sheaths, Machinery manufacturing, ShipbuildingLight industry, Lead oxide, Radiation protection|
|Molecular Weight||207.2 g/mol|
|Supplier Database||Umicore N.V, American Elements, Glencore plc, Korea Zinc Co., Ltd., The Doe Run Resources Corporation, Hindustan Zinc Limited|
|Region/Countries Covered||Asia Pacific: China, India, Indonesia, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Japan, Philippines, Vietnam, Iran, Thailand, South Korea, Iraq, Saudi Arabia, Malaysia, Nepal, Taiwan, Sri Lanka, UAE, Israel, Hongkong, Singapore, Oman, Kuwait, Qatar, Australia, and New Zealand
Europe: Germany, France, United Kingdom, Italy, Spain, Russia, Turkey, Netherlands, Poland, Sweden, Belgium, Austria, Ireland Switzerland, Norway, Denmark, Romania, Finland, Czech Republic, Portugal and Greece
North America: United States and Canada
Latin America: Brazil, Mexico, Argentina, Columbia, Chile, Ecuador, and Peru
Africa: South Africa, Nigeria, Egypt, Algeria, Morocco
|Currency||US$ (Data can also be provided in local currency)|
|Supplier Database Availability||Yes|
|Customization Scope||The report can be customized as per the requirements of the customer|
|Post-Sale Analyst Support||360-degree analyst support after report delivery|
Note: Our supplier search experts can assist your procurement teams in compiling and validating a list of suppliers indicating they have products, services, and capabilities that meet your company's needs.
The primary production of lead begins with the Sintering process, where concentrated lead ore is processed inside a sintering machine along with iron, silica, limestone fluxes, soda ash, pyrite, zinc, caustics or pollution control particulates. Smelting uitlises reduction substances, which are known for combining with the oxidising agents. Hence, reduction is the last step in this smelting process, which further produces elemental Lead.
The displayed pricing data is derived through weighted average purchase price, including contract and spot transactions at the specified locations unless otherwise stated. The information provided comes from the compilation and processing of commercial data officially reported for each nation (i.e. government agencies, external trade bodies, and industry publications).
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