- Global nickel prices showed a mixed but softer trend in Q1 2026, as early supply concerns supported the market, but weaker demand and high inventories pulled prices lower by March.
- Cost support remained present because global mine production was still sizeable at about 3.7 million tonnes in 2025, while Indonesian quota controls and output risks continued to influence supply expectations.
- Downstream demand stayed uneven, with stainless steel remaining the main demand base, while battery demand provided only limited support.
Asia
In Asia, nickel prices rose in January on strong market sentiment and concerns over tighter Indonesian ore availability, then weakened by March as the market shifted back to actual demand conditions. In China, prices were about RMB 146.01/kg in January and around RMB 139.01/kg in March, down 3.67% over the period. Demand for stainless steel remained weak during the traditional off-season, though steel mill activity improved in March. Battery-related demand was present but not strong enough to offset softer stainless steel consumption. In India, prices also eased from INR 1,645.78/kg in January to INR 1,622.25/kg in March, a decline of 3.73%, following the same pattern of early supply-driven support and later demand-led correction.
Europe
In Europe, nickel prices also softened during Q1 2026. Prices moved from EUR 15.29/kg in January to EUR 14.93/kg in March, down 3.68%. The decline was mainly linked to weak downstream consumption and cautious buying, despite continued supply-side concern tied to Indonesia’s production controls and reduced intermediate output expectations. Market support from stainless steel and battery sectors remained limited, keeping buyers focused on essential purchases.
North America
In North America, nickel prices followed the broader global trend, with early support from supply concerns and macro sentiment, followed by softer movement as demand failed to strengthen materially. Stainless steel demand remained the main driver, but weak broader industrial buying limited upside.