- Refined Coconut Oil markets softened during Q2 2026 as improving raw-material availability reduced earlier supply pressure, although replacement costs remained elevated.
- Copra availability remained the key feedstock driver, with earlier production constraints supporting costs before better crop conditions gradually eased pressure.
- Food processing, personal care, oleochemicals and industrial applications maintained steady demand, but buyers became more cautious as supply conditions improved.
Asia
In the Philippines, the average Refined Coconut Oil price was USD 1559/MT (EXW) in June. Sri Lanka recorded an average price of USD 2548/MT (EXW) during June. In India, Refined Coconut Oil averaged USD 2469/MT (EXW) in June. Asian markets entered Q2 with relatively firm production costs because reduced copra availability had constrained crushing and refinery feedstock supply. Philippine copra production for 2025/26 was estimated to decline by around 7.6% from the previous marketing year, keeping raw-material procurement relatively tight early in the quarter. Conditions became softer toward May and June as rainfall and improving tree productivity strengthened expectations for better future supply. Refiners consequently faced less urgency to secure feedstock aggressively. Demand from edible-oil blending, food manufacturing, cosmetics and oleochemicals remained steady, but buyers increasingly shifted toward requirement-based purchasing as supply concerns eased.
Europe
European Refined Coconut Oil conditions softened through Q2 as improved Asian availability reduced import replacement pressure. The region remained heavily dependent on overseas coconut oil, particularly from the Philippines, making freight conditions and Asian refinery availability important influences on landed costs. Europe accounted for about 67.6% of Philippine coconut oil exports in March, highlighting its exposure to changes in Asian supply. Early-quarter tightness therefore carried into European procurement, but greater availability later in Q2 improved buyers' negotiating position. Demand from food, confectionery, personal care and specialty chemical applications remained stable, although cautious purchasing prevented any strong restocking cycle.
North America
North American conditions also eased as improving Philippine supply reduced replacement-cost pressure for importers. The United States remained an important destination for Philippine coconut oil, accounting for about 24.7% of March shipments. Demand from food processors, personal-care manufacturers and specialty oleochemical users remained steady, but buyers avoided excessive inventory accumulation as global supply prospects improved. Freight and processing expenses continued to support landed values, limiting the extent of the decline.
Analyst Insight
According to Procurement Resource, Refined Coconut Oil prices are expected to remain broadly stable to slightly soft as improving feedstock availability offsets steady downstream demand and residual logistics costs.