Refined Soybean Oil prices in Indian markets followed a mixed trend during the second half of 2025. Through the third quarter and into the early part of the fourth quarter, prices declined steadily from elevated opening levels. The downward movement was driven by improved import availability, as competitive cargoes from alternative origins entered the market and displaced a portion of conventional South American supplies. Domestic refiners benefited from lower landed costs, and purchasing activity remained steady as buyers took advantage of the softer price environment. Abundant global supply, including discounted offers from China seeking to clear excess inventories, kept import costs contained and weighed on domestic pricing throughout this phase.
As the fourth quarter progressed, prices stabilised and began recovering gradually. Expectations of tighter palm oil availability and anticipation of biodiesel policy developments in key producing countries shifted market sentiment. Buying interest improved, and forward procurement activity increased as trade participants sought to secure supply ahead of anticipated tightening. Toward period-end, prices edged marginally lower as seasonal consumption eased.