
Udeesha Tomar
AVP - Strategy and Solutions
Leading procurement research solutions across chemicals, materials, and food & beverages, with expertise in price forecasting and market analytics.
In H1’26, unbleached kraft paper showed a mixed trend, with North America easing earlier before stabilizing as domestic packaging offtake improved. The main drag came from lower containerboard production and weaker export shipments, as total containerboard output fell 8% in Q1 and export shipments declined 19% year over year. However, inventories tightened by 3% from the previous quarter, limiting further downside. Downstream demand improved later in the period, with packaging papers and specialty packaging shipments rising 7% in March, 5.5% in April, and 12% in May. Unbleached packaging paper shipments also reached their highest level in over two years in March, with the operating rate above 90%.
Analyst Insight
According to Procurement Resource, in the near term, the trend is expected to remain steady to slightly firm if packaging shipments stay healthy and inventories remain controlled.
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| Product | Category | Region | Price | Last Updated Month |
| Unbleached Kraft Paper | Packaging | China | 875 USD/MT | September 2025 |
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During 2025, unbleached kraft paper prices exhibited a generally firm-trend, primarily supported by rising production costs, periodic supply constraints, and resilient demand from the packaging sector. The year began with manufacturers successfully implementing multiple price increases to improve margins despite relatively subdued underlying demand. Elevated pulp, energy, and logistics costs continued to influence producer pricing strategies, while maintenance outages at several mills and temporary capacity constraints limited product availability during the first half of the year.
As the year progressed, regional market performance diverged. In Asia, pricing remained supported by tightening environmental regulations, higher energy expenses, and sustained demand for sustainable packaging and e-commerce applications, although adequate mill inventories limited stronger gains. European markets experienced mixed conditions, with cost inflation supporting prices while weak industrial packaging demand and cautious procurement capped upward momentum. In North America, stable packaging demand and balanced supply fundamentals resulted in relatively limited price volatility. During the second half of the year, prices strengthened in several Asian markets due to firmer packaging demand and disciplined production management, while parts of Europe witnessed softer prices amid high inventories and subdued buying activity. Overall, market sentiment remained largely cost-driven rather than demand-led throughout 2025.

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