Rapeseed future prices in Paris have been declining amid higher imports and carried-over supplies from the last harvest
Rapeseed prices in Paris continue to weaken as higher imports and expectations of a bigger EU harvest in the 2025/26 season weigh on the market. Supplies from the previous harvest are also adding pressure. August rapeseed futures have dropped 1.5% over the past month, driven by forecasts of an 8% rise in EU production and falling global oil and biodiesel prices. Better weather in Europe has improved crop conditions, pushing prices for the new harvest USD 39.34 to USD 74.07 per tonne lower than old-crop rapeseed.
The global canola and rapeseed markets have seen major changes recently due to shifting trade patterns and weather-related production risks. The EU has imported much more this season, with arrivals reaching 5.68 million tonnes, up 14% from last year. Ukraine is still the top supplier, but its shipments have slowed, allowing Australia and Canada to increase their sales. Australia, in particular, has sent record volumes to the EU as prices became more favorable.
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Production issues are becoming a key factor for the market. Ukraine’s upcoming harvest is uncertain after bad weather, which could reduce supplies. Meanwhile, Canada saw a jump in exports after prices briefly fell due to trade restrictions, showing how quickly market conditions can change. China’s imports have been unpredictable, with monthly purchases swinging widely in response to shifting trade policies.
