Phone:+1 307 363 1045
Phone: +91 1203185500
Phone: +44 7537 132103
1,3-Butadiene Price Trend and Forecast
Get the latest insights on price movement and trend analysis of 1,3- Butadiene in different regions across the world (Asia, Europe, North America, Latin America, and the Middle East & Africa).
1,3-Butadiene Price Trend for the Second Half of 2023
In China, the exponential surge in the spot prices of 1,3-butadiene from approximately 839.57 USD/MT to 1090 USD/MT in the third quarter and then a minimal decline to 1031 USD/MT at the end of the year reflects the significant industrial growth in the region. However, this was not the scenario in other Asian countries, as the price trend of 1,3-butadiene oscillated around a mean value. In South Korea, purchasing activities remained subdued in both the third and fourth quarters of 2023, which was evident in the contraction in the number of new orders. Further, the support from the feedstock market was also minimal and insufficient to drive the 1,3-butadiene price trend in an upward trajectory.
The disturbance in the economic sector prevented any growth in the 1,3-butadiene price trend during the third quarter of 2023. The manufacturers and traders remained under the pressure of dim consumer confidence and a limited number of sales of 1,3-butadiene throughout the third quarter of 2023. However, in the end phase of Q3 and throughout the fourth quarter, the cost of naphtha inclined consistently, projecting a forward momentum for the 1,3-butadiene prices. This helped in the stabilization of prices during the end quarter, and with the suitable improvement in the consumer spending budgets, the 1,3-butadiene was able to have a strong run in the last quarter of the year 2023.
The third quarter of 2023 in North America was no different than the rest of the world in terms of 1,3-butadiene prices. In the US, the domestic producers faced fierce competition from the influx of cheap imports from Asian countries. Initially, the inventories dried up quickly due to certain disbalance in the supply and demand dynamics; however, with the rise in importing and manufacturing activities, the prices soon spiraled downwards.
On the other hand, the onset of Q4 brought some positive winds and the 1,3-butadiene price trend registered a dramatic incline. The rising cost of energy, increased rate of procurement from the downstream rubber and automotive industries, and low rates of production provided a window to the traders for a rise in the 1,3-butadiene price quotations.
According to Procurement Resource, the price trend of 1,3-Butadiene is estimated to remain stable in the next quarter. The recent bloom in the prices is expected to neutralize after the winter holiday season, and the prices are thus expected to achieve stagnancy.
1,3-butadiene Price Trend for the First Half of 2023
The first quarter of 2023 was favorable for 1,3-butadiene as its price trend followed an upward trajectory. The high demand from the synthetic rubber and polymer industries aided the price hike.
The market was speedy in gaining momentum after the Lunar holiday season, and with the rise in production rates, the availability of the product increased in the region. This strong supply was not met with equally strong downstream demand causing the products to stockpile. Hence, the price trend dipped in the second quarter. The spot prices of 1,3-Butadiene averaged around 855 USD/MT in June’23.
A fluctuating trend in the prices of 1,3-butadiene was observed in the European region. Here, the prices were mostly influenced by the demand from the downstream industries. Initially, the demand for the product fell amid strong supply leading to an oversupply of the product in the market. The downstream sectors, such as polymers, plastics, rubber, etc., reduced their number of offtakes, negatively affecting the market. But soon, the market gained momentum, and the demand surged, supporting the rising prices of 1,3-butadiene.
The 1,3-butadiene market declined in North America in the first two quarters of 2023. The reduced number of inquiries and strong supply disrupted the equilibrium of the market, and in addition to this, the operational rates were also weak, which further aided the downward trajectory of the market. The demand sector was, however, strong and supported the market dynamics, which helped the prices remain afloat in the latter half.
According to Procurement Resource, the price of 1,3-butadiene is estimated to showcase a mixed trend in the upcoming quarters as the demand sector seems strong, but the other market variables seem uncertain.
1,3-Butadiene Price Trend for the Second Half of 2022
The price trend for 1,3-Butadiene in H2 2022 showed lower swinging trend in the said period. The Chinese manufacturing sector took a hit attributed to the strict zero covid policies of the Chinese government. The downstream demands took a sharp plunge causing the 1,3-Butadiene market to contract. As Q4 approached 1,3-Butadiene market declined further because of feeble demands. But as the year-end approached energy prices started rising and feedstock prices also rose which resulted in higher upstream costs and thus a slight elevation in 1,3-Butadiene prices was seen.
For the European 1,3-Butadiene market initially, prices declined just like in Asia because of low demands amid a grave economic crisis and high inflation that took a toll on the manufacturing industries. But as Q4 approached the shortened inventories couldn’t support the dull demands and upstream costs generally got high due to higher energy costs, which pushed the 1,3-Butadiene prices up again. But as the yearend approached the supply chains and logistics started normalizing, Chinese lockdowns eased and cheaper imports were accessible, as the supplies improved, market demand didn’t rise in the same manner resulting in 1,3-Butadiene price trend taking a plunge again. Overall, a very mixed kind of market sentiment was observed for 1,3-Butadiene.
The North American market sentiments for 1,3-Butadiene recorded a fluctuating pattern for H2 2022. Global supply chain disruptions and high inflation rates affected every sector in some manner, especially the manufacturing sector. Very consistently low-end consumer demands kept choking the 1,3 Butadiene market. High energy prices and inflation pushed the upstream costs, but the lower demands didn’t help the market sustain.
According to Procurement Resource, 1,3 Butadiene prices are going to have a mixed run ahead. As the market demand turns out to be the determining factor, any shift in consumer demand will directly affect the market sentiments for 1,3 Butadiene. As supply chains restore the production is expected to remain afloat.
1,3-Butadiene Price Trend For the First Half of 2022
The price trend for Butadiene remained strong in the Chinese domestic market. The robust demand from the downstream rubber and elastomer industries helped keep prices afloat despite the supply-side constraints caused by the Russian invasion of Ukraine. With shortages of raw materials, inflated freight charges and low production rates ( Covid-19 restrictions), the prices of Butadiene and its feedstock shot up. However, despite the heightened prices, the market sentiment remained strong, which caused the prices of 1,3-Butadiene to increase.
The cost of feedstock ethylene averaged 1346-1356 USD/MT CFR in North and South East Asia. Moreover, towards the end of the second quarter, the 1,3-Butadiene prices began to stabilize as crude oil prices and supply constraints relaxed. The prices of Butadiene averaged around 11000 RMB/MT in North China towards the end of June 2022.
The Russian conquest of Ukraine unleashed a huge economic backlash in the European arena, whose repercussions were felt globally. The prices of almost all the commodities inflated owing to the western retaliatory sanctions and European embargo on Russian oil. The trade bottlenecks in the Black Sea further delayed the cargoes triggering an energy crisis in Europe.
Despite the climbing feedstock prices, the Butadiene market remained strong due to the solid demand from downstream automotive sectors. The 1,3- Butadiene prices averaged around 1350 USD/MT FD Hamburg. However, towards the end of the second quarter, these constantly rising costs plateaued due to the substitute shipments from Africa and Latin American nations. The prices stabilized around 1385-1395 FD Northwestern Europe.
Initially, at the beginning of the current year, the butadiene prices were low owing to the reduced market sentiments, low production costs and vast stockpiles in the market. However, the prices began to soar in March due to the increasing costs of crude oil and natural gas.
These increased costs increased production costs as the feedstock prices exploded along with the power costs required to maintain constant outputs from refineries. Towards the end of the first quarter, the price of Butadiene averaged 1445 USD/MT FD Texas. These price trend remained strong during the second quarter due to the intense market demands from the automotive and resin factories.
Procurement Resource provides latest prices of 1,3-Butadiene. Each price database is tied to a user-friendly graphing tool dating back to 2014, which provides a range of functionalities: configuration of price series over user defined time period; comparison of product movements across countries; customisation of price currencies and unit; extraction of price data as excel files to be used offline
1,3-Butadiene is a volatile and colourless gas with a petrol-like odour. It is immiscible with water but is readily soluble in organic solvents like acetone, benzene, etc. It serves as feedstock for various polymerization reactions but is primarily used in manufacturing synthetic rubber ranging from shoe soles to tires in the automotive industry.
|Synthetic Rubber, Adhesives, Sealants, Asphalt, Polymers, Plastics including acrylics
|Biethylene, Divinyl, Vinyl ethylene
|Sinopec, Braskem, Shell Chemical,, CNPC, BASF, LyondellBasell, Ineos OandP
|Asia Pacific: China, India, Indonesia, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Japan, Philippines, Vietnam, Iran, Thailand, South Korea, Iraq, Saudi Arabia, Malaysia, Nepal, Taiwan, Sri Lanka, UAE, Israel, Hongkong, Singapore, Oman, Kuwait, Qatar, Australia, and New Zealand
Europe: Germany, France, United Kingdom, Italy, Spain, Russia, Turkey, Netherlands, Poland, Sweden, Belgium, Austria, Ireland Switzerland, Norway, Denmark, Romania, Finland, Czech Republic, Portugal and Greece
North America: United States and Canada
Latin America: Brazil, Mexico, Argentina, Columbia, Chile, Ecuador, and Peru
Africa: South Africa, Nigeria, Egypt, Algeria, Morocco
|US$ (Data can also be provided in local currency)
|Supplier Database Availability
|The report can be customized as per the requirements of the customer
|Post-Sale Analyst Support
|360-degree analyst support after report delivery
Note: Our supplier search experts can assist your procurement teams in compiling and validating a list of suppliers indicating they have products, services, and capabilities that meet your company's needs.
C4 hydrocarbon production method: Mostly, 1,3-Butadiene is obtained during the stream cracking ethylene process as one of the by-products. The crude C4 stream is fed into the butadiene extraction zone, where the desired product is extracted via extractive distillation. The amount of product depends on the quality and quantity of feed used. Higher feed like naphtha results in a higher concentration of butadiene plus other derivatives.
The displayed pricing data is derived through weighted average purchase price, including contract and spot transactions at the specified locations unless otherwise stated. The information provided comes from the compilation and processing of commercial data officially reported for each nation (i.e., government agencies, external trade bodies, and industry publications).
Procurement Resource is a one-stop solution for businesses aiming at the best industry insights and market evaluation in the arena of procurement. Our team of market leaders covers all the facets of procurement strategies with its holistic industry reports, extensive production cost and pre-feasibility insights, and price trends dynamics impacting the cost trajectories of the plethora of products encompassing various industries. With the best analysis of the market trends and comprehensive consulting in light of the best strategic footstep, Procurement Resource got all that it takes.
Procurement Resource has made a mark for itself in terms of its rigorous assistance to its clientele. Our experienced panel of experts leave no stone unturned in ensuring the expertise at every step of our clients' strategic procurement journey. Our prompt assistance, prudential analysis, and pragmatic tactics considering the best procurement move for industries are all that sets us apart. We at Procurement Resource value our clients, which our clients vouch for.
Expertise, judiciousness, and expedience are the crucial aspects of our modus operandi at Procurement Resource. Quality is non-negotiable, and we don't compromise on that. Our best-in-class solutions, elaborative consulting substantiated by exhaustive evaluation, and fool-proof reports have led us to come this far, making us the ‘numero uno' in the domain of procurement. Be it exclusive qualitative research or assiduous quantitative research methodologies, our high quality of work is what our clients swear by.
Phone:+1 307 363 1045
Phone: +91 1203185500
Phone: +44 7537 132103