Cooler Forecast Pulls Natural Gas Down
Milder weather predictions for the eastern US in the second half of June reduced expectations for high cooling demand, causing Nymex natural gas futures to tumble and indicating near-term price weakness.
| Product | Region | Incoterm Basis | Price | Last Updated Month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ammonium Nitrate | China | FOB | USD 636.90/MT | May 2026 |
| Ammonium Nitrate | India | CIF | USD 704.24/MT | May 2026 |
| Ammonium Nitrate | USA | CIF | USD 756.09/MT | May 2026 |
| Ammonium Nitrate | Brazil | CIF | USD 768.90/MT | May 2026 |
| Ammonium Nitrate | Canada | CIF | USD 761.90/MT | May 2026 |
| Ammonium Nitrate | China | FOB | USD 630.25/MT | April 2026 |
| Ammonium Nitrate | India | CIF | USD 680.13/MT | April 2026 |
| Ammonium Nitrate | USA | CIF | USD 717.25/MT | April 2026 |
| Ammonium Nitrate | Brazil | CIF | USD 751.35/MT | April 2026 |
| Ammonium Nitrate | Canada | CIF | USD 717.25/MT | April 2026 |
Stay updated with the latest ammonium nitrate prices, historical data, and tailored regional analysis
Milder weather predictions for the eastern US in the second half of June reduced expectations for high cooling demand, causing Nymex natural gas futures to tumble and indicating near-term price weakness.
Japan's METI granted a $3 billion CfD subsidy to ACME-IHI for 228,000 t/y green ammonia exports from India starting 2030. The program reduces price risk for producers and secures offtake by Japanese users, encouraging low-carbon ammonia production and likely stabilizing green ammonia prices in the long run.
Asia
In China, ammonium nitrate prices increased from ~USD 630.25/MT to ~USD 641.00/MT during the second quarter of 2026, showing a ~1.7% increase. The modest rise reflected tighter nitrogen availability and changing fertilizer trade conditions as producers prioritized domestic supply. Export controls and shifting regional trade flows limited supply flexibility, while ammonia availability and natural gas costs influenced production economics. Agricultural demand remained the principal outlet, with seasonal fertilizer requirements providing support despite cautious procurement. Upstream ammonium nitrate production remained closely linked to ammonia and nitric acid availability, making disruptions across the nitrogen chain significant for regional pricing. India’s fertilizer supply planning also indicated active preparation for the agricultural season, with tenders covering 5.36 lakh MT of ammonia.
Europe
European ammonium nitrate markets remained affected by delayed seasonal fertilizer purchasing, volatile energy costs and changing nitrogen supply conditions. Natural gas remained a critical production-cost factor because it directly influences ammonia economics, while ammonia and nitric acid availability determined ammonium nitrate production flexibility. Market activity improved later in Q2’26 after a slower start, but procurement remained sensitive to fertilizer affordability and seasonal application requirements. Geopolitical disruptions and tighter international fertilizer trade flows added uncertainty to replacement costs, while agricultural demand continued to anchor consumption. Commercial explosives and industrial applications provided additional support but remained secondary to fertilizer use.
North America
In Canada, ammonium nitrate prices increased from ~USD 717.25/MT in April to ~USD 796.00/MT in June, showing a ~11.0% increase. Strong agricultural demand and tighter nitrogen supply conditions supported the increase, while ammonia and nitric acid costs influenced producer economics. Ammonium nitrate’s use in both fertilizers and commercial explosives broadened the demand base, with mining activity providing additional support. Integrated nitrogen production capacity helped maintain regional supply, although natural gas availability and disruptions in global fertilizer logistics remained important cost considerations.
Analyst Insight
According to Procurement Resource, prices are likely to remain firm as agricultural demand, ammonia availability, natural gas costs and fertilizer trade policies continue to shape regional supply balances.
Related Report
Need latest Ammonium Nitrate price?
Get real-time price assessments, periodic trends, forecasts and price driver insights across key global markets.
Unlock Price Insights NowOur Clients

Turn price intelligence into action with the Procurement Resource Database. Log in or subscribe to unlock live price trends, historical charts, supplier databases, cost curves, and analyst-backed insights across chemicals, agriculture, energy, packaging, and more. Use these tools to benchmark your contracts, plan budgets with confidence, and stay ahead of market moves on every product you buy.
0
+Products
0
+Regions
0
+Subscriptions
Asia
Ammonium nitrate prices in Asia followed a firm upward trend in Q1’26 due to tightening supply and steady fertilizer demand. The disruption in Hormuz-linked trade reduced the availability of ammonia and nitrogen feedstocks, increasing production and import costs. Lower vessel movement and restricted logistics reduced cargo flow into key Asian markets, while stable agricultural demand maintained procurement activity. The region remained sensitive to global nitrogen supply disruptions due to its reliance on imports and integrated fertilizer trade flows.
Europe
Ammonium nitrate prices in Europe increased in Q1’26 as feedstock costs and supply risks intensified. Natural gas volatility raised production costs for nitrogen fertilizers, reducing operating rates and tightening supply. The Iran war amplified supply concerns, as around one-third of global seaborne fertilizer trade, about 16 million tonnes annually, passes through the Strait of Hormuz, increasing import risk and logistics uncertainty. Strong agricultural demand during the spring season supported firm market conditions despite production constraints.
North America
Ammonium nitrate prices in North America remained firm with a moderate upward trend in Q1’26, supported by steady domestic demand and global nitrogen tightness. The region was less exposed to direct supply disruptions due to strong domestic production, but global trade constraints increased replacement costs. Seasonal demand from agriculture and steady industrial consumption sustained buying activity, while global supply chain disruption influenced market sentiment.
Ammonium Nitrate is widely available both as colourless crystalline solid and processed prills for specific applications. It is miscible in water. It is utilised to make fertilisers and explosives. It is also utilised as a nutrient in producing antibiotics and yeast.
NH4NO3
Agricultural chemicals (non-pesticidal), Industrial/mining explosives, Intermediates, Odour agents, Oxidising/reducing agents, Plasticisers, Plating agents and surface treating agents, Processing aids, pH buffering agent
Ammonium Nitricum, Ammonium Saltpetre
EuroChem Group AG, Fertiberia, S.A, VWR International, LLC, Yara International ASA, CF Industries Holdings, Inc., Sumitomo Chemical Co., Ltd., San Corporation, PhosAgro Group of Companies
CurrencyUS$ (Data can also be provided in local currency)
Supplier Database AvailabilityYes
Customization ScopeThe report can be customized as per the requirements of the customer
Post-Sale Analyst Support360-degree analyst support after report delivery
Note: Our supplier search experts can assist your procurement teams in compiling and validating a list of suppliers indicating they have products, services, and capabilities that meet your company's needs.
The commercial manufacturing of ammonium nitrate from ammonia entails the acid-base reaction of ammonia with nitric acid. After the solution is formed, usually at about 83% concentration, the excess water is evaporated to an ammonium nitrate (AN) content of 95% to 99.9% concentration (AN melt), depending on the grade.
Our Price Analysis Methodology

Business Insights Analyst
Helping procurement and sourcing teams navigate complex markets through data-driven research, category intelligence, and actionable insights - with a focus on identifying market trends, analyzing supply-side developments, and delivering clear intelligence that supports informed business decisions.

Experience how Procurement Resource transforms raw material price data into clear, decision ready intelligence. Optimise your performance with reliable, expert market data and analysis. Schedule your demo today to experience a live walk-through where our experts will showcase interactive price charts, forecasted prices, and insights driving the prices for your key commodities, tailored to your workflows. Contact us now!
Our Team will be happy to assist you
We are just a text away
Still Need Help?
This report provides the economy of producing ammonia by partial oxidation method.
This report provides the cost structure of ammonia production by Haber Process.
The report is a detailed study of economics of ammonium nitrate by the reaction of nitric acid on anhydrous ammonia resulting in an aqueous ammonium nitrate solution.
Unlock full access to Procurement Resource's price databases, interactive charts, and short-term forecasts for thousands of commodities. Elevate your sourcing decisions by comparing prices across regions, downloading historical data, and layering in analyst-backed insights, all with our flexible plans that scale as your portfolio grows.
Still have any Questions
Contact Us



Price Trend Dashboard - What's Included
Price trends across a diverse portfolio of categories and products, spanning board to niche chemicals
Coverage extendable to grade-specific chemicals based on procurement requirements
Regular price tracking supported by robust historical datasets
News, policy updates, and key market drivers impacting price movements
Short-term and long-term price outlooks and forecasts
Supply-demand dynamics and capacity-driven market analysis