Cassava Price Trend and Forecast

Regional Price Overview

Get the latest insights on price movement and trend analysis of Cassava in different regions across the world (Asia, Europe, North America, Latin America, and the Middle East & Africa).

Cassava Price Trend for the Second Half of 2023

Asia

The spread of cassava mosaic disease and cassava witches' broom disease threatened the Asian cassava plantations, impacting over 3.5 million hectares. CMD, introduced through Cambodia, rapidly affected plantations across mainland Southeast Asia, reducing yields by up to half and disrupting the cassava supply chain.

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To combat the diseases, researchers focused on multiplying healthy cassava stems and developing disease-resistant varieties. While these efforts provided only short-term relief, and in view of concerns over the quality of produce, consumer confidence in this sector has declined. The loss of consumer interest in the sector eventually resulted in the downfall of the cassava price trend during the third and fourth quarters of 2023.

South America

The Amazon rainforest faced its worst drought in the later quarters of 2023, leading to severe repercussions such as unreachable villages, wildfires, and wildlife fatalities. The drought's impact on communities like Bom Jesus de Igapo Grande was drastic, and with spoiled crops such as Brazilian cassava, the spot prices dipped from approximately 144.8 USD/MT (FD) in July to around 116.37 USD/MT in December '23. The El Niño weather pattern, compounded by climate change, is exaggerated by the supply situation, with abnormal warming in the Pacific and North Atlantic oceans contributing to hot, dry conditions in the Amazon.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, the price trend of cassava is expected to take on a foul turn as the decline in production and constriction in consumer budget will exert a negative influence on the market.

Cassava Price Trend for the First Half of 2023

Asia

The first half of 2023 turned out to be really good for Asian Cassava producing countries like Vietnam and Cambodia. The year 2023 witnessed a good yield of cassava crops. As global trade started opening up in the post-pandemic era and supply chains improved with improved transportation mediums, end-consumer demands for Cassava saw a rise. China was one of the major importers of Cassava from these countries. Overall, very positive market sentiments were observed for Cassava prices in H1 2023.

South America

South American Cassava market, though, behaved totally differently. Cassava started fine in Brazil and experienced inclined price trend in January. New orders were being received, and the projections looked good, but an unanticipated competition appeared in exporting the root vegetable.

Asian Cassava producing countries, too, saw record crop yields, so the market had excess supplies. So as the export queries declined, the price trend for Cassava turned south in the Brazilian market from February and declined consistently throughout the rest of the concerned period. But because domestic consumption in Brazil was still significant, the cassava market stayed afloat.

Analyst insight

According to Procurement Resource, the price trend for cassava are expected to continue behaving in a similar manner in the upcoming months as well, primarily because market demands from consuming nations will continue to drive the cassava price trend.

Cassava Price Trend for the Second Half of 2022

Asia

The cassava prices displayed diverse trend throughout the Asia-Pacific region. In India, cassava prices increased averaging 40 INR/kg. The cassava prices did not increase for the past two years, hence many producers stopped production and shifted to other products for larger profits. However, this year the demand rebounded in the domestic market causing the prices to inflate as the inventories ran dry. In Cambodia, the cassava prices averaged 370-420 rivels/kg (0.096 USD/kg).

Africa

The cassava price averaged 30,000 Naira/MT ( or 67.80 USD/MT ) in Nigeria during the third quarter period. Owing to the high input costs, the market supply of cassava declined. Since cassava is a household staple in Africa, shortages amid solid demand caused the prices to incline.

Latin America

The price trend for cassava kept steadily rising in the Brazilian market throughout the said period. The prices went from  167.84 USD/MT in July to 227.72 USD/MT ( Spot FD Brazil) ( approx.) in December 2022. The inclined prices were the result of high demand and lowered supply owing to harvest losses caused by unfavourable weather conditions.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, the prices of cassava are expected to remain high owing to volatilities in the market. The poor yields due to intermittent rainfall and farmers switching to other crops for better profits together reinforced these high prices along with potent demand.

For the Second Quarter of 2022

Asia

Thailand, Cambodia, and Vietnam are the key exporters of the tuber in the Asian region. Chinese cassava imports account for around 36.5% of the global imports. However, in the current quarter, the price trend of the tuber dipped due to various reasons.

Firstly, many farmers in Thailand switched to planting rice due to better pricing and the demand from the Chinese market declined. To prevent the stockpiling of corn in the domestic market, the Chinese government directed the manufacturers to use corn instead of cassava in feed production. The price of Thai cassava averaged 2.1-2.2 THB/kg in the market.

Latin America

Cassava forms an essential part of the diet in Brazilian households. Brazilian cassava prices averaged 1.43-1.17 USD/kg or around 1430 USD/ton.

Middle East and Africa

The price trend of the tuber remained firm in the African market. Despite being the largest producer, African exports are limited as most of the product is consumed domestically. Domestic productions help achieve food security and provide recurring income to the farmers.

For the First Quarter of 2022

Asia

As the global demand for cassava increases, Thailand’s cassava market is projected to prosper amid rise in cereal prices. In March 2022, the price of fresh cassava root was around 2.5-2.6 THB/kg. The cassava prices are projected to increase with an increase in demand. The global cassava root production is expected to increase to 302 MMT. Thailand has an estimated domestic demand of 12.7 MMT for cassava root while exports are estimated at 29.7 MMT.

Latin America

Cassava root prices were in the range of 153-163 USD/MT in Brazil in the final week of March.

For the Fourth Quarter of 2021

Asia

In the fourth quarter of this year, Thailand's Industry and Trade Information Center raised the value floor of cassava flour from 475 USD/MT to 480 USD/MT, resulting in a price increase from 0.41 USD/kg to 0.42 USD/kg. Other merchants, such as the Thai Yam and Tapioca Factories Association, increased the price of exported chips by 0.5 USD/kg at the same time. On the other hand, raw cassava prices remained steady at roughly 0.075-0.080 USD/kg.

Europe

In December 2021, tuber prices in the United Kingdom were projected to be between 1220 USD/MT and 1290 USD/MT. Cassava starch was frequently used in the textile industry for finishing, sizing, and printing because of its flexibility, abrasion resistance, and ability to create a link with the fibre.

Latin America

In the fourth quarter of 2021, the tuber market price in Brazil gradually increased, reaching 124 USD/MT in December, from 102 USD/MT in October. After a period of low productivity, cassava prices increased as demand grew.

For First, Second and Third Qaurters of 2021

Asia

The tuber’s business grew as a result of urbanisation, increased working population, and rising family incomes, while the global food sector expanded significantly, particularly in emerging economies like India and China. This aided the growth of the industry by raising demand for ready-to-eat foods.

Latin America

For the first three quarters of 2021, the average Brazilian market prices of the tuber were in the range of 78-102 USD/MT. Since the tuber is a well-established product in South American countries, consumption patterns and total market demand were steady. Latin America's population growth, as well as expanding food industry demand, were the key drivers of the market in 2021.

For the Year 2020

Asia

In 2020, the cassava market price in Vietnam was roughly 94 to 98 USD/MT, while the price range in Indonesia was 68 to 72 USD/MT. Thailand ranked fifth in exports in 2020, with a 6.32 percent global share, a value of USD 5.77 million, and a volume of 4.84 MT. It was ranked 19th in 2020 imports, with a 0.46 percent share valued at USD 578.19 thousand and a volume of 92.96 thousand MT.

Europe

Average manioc import prices in the United Kingdom were 1170 USD/MT in the start of 2020. Manufacturers were attempting to develop and invent clean-label meals and food ingredients, which increased demand for wheat as a natural product in the worldwide food and beverage industries. Technological developments, industrial expansion, and increased population growth fueled global demand for flour.

North America

Manioc starch prices in the United States were 668 USD/MT in January, 640 USD/MT in February, and 692 USD/MT in March of 2020. The global cassava flour market expanded as a result of rising consumer desire for a healthy lifestyle, which led to increased consumption of healthy food products and food ingredients. Furthermore, market expansion was fueled by increased demand for packaging innovation, convenience meals, and an expanding population willing to pay a premium for healthy food.

Latin America

Cassava prices in Brazil fell from 114 USD/MT in January to 82 USD/MT in February, and then to 76 USD/MT in March of 2020. While prices rose to 100 USD/MT in October, they fell down to 87 USD/MT in November and stayed rangebound until the end of the year. Government-imposed lockdowns and transportation restrictions hampered various food industries, causing the market to suffer from a drop in demand and consumption.

Procurement Resource provides latest prices of Cassava. Each price database is tied to a user-friendly graphing tool dating back to 2014, which provides a range of functionalities: configuration of price series over user defined time period; comparison of product movements across countries; customisation of price currencies and unit; extraction of price data as excel files to be used offline.