The global fertilizer market shows mixed trends entering autumn, with nitrogen fertilizers recovering from earlier declines while phosphate grades remain supported by high sulfur costs and tight supply. Potash holds steady amid weak demand, though product availability, delivery timelines, and logistics reliability pose key supply risks for the coming season.
The conflict in Iran has triggered logistical disruptions and export restrictions from major sulfur producers including China and Russia, pushing sulfur spot prices sharply higher. As sulfur is a primary input for phosphate fertilizer production, rising sulfur costs have driven DAP and MAP prices higher, with Corn Belt DAP prices climbing significantly since early 2026. The supply tightening and elevated input costs point to further upward pressure on phosphate fertilizer prices heading into the 2027 crop year.
| Product | Region | Incoterm Basis | Price | Last Updated Month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coconut | Indonesia | FOB | USD 175.00/MT | July 2026 |
| Coconut | India | FOB | USD 585.00/MT | July 2026 |
| Coconut | USA | CIF | USD 211.97/MT | July 2026 |
| Coconut | Brazil | FOB | USD 202.55/MT | July 2026 |
| Coconut | Canada | FOB | USD 213.39/MT | July 2026 |
| Coconut | Indonesia | FOB | USD 177.00/MT | June 2026 |
| Coconut | India | FOB | USD 538.50/MT | June 2026 |
| Coconut | USA | CIF | USD 214.39/MT | June 2026 |
| Coconut | Brazil | FOB | USD 204.87/MT | June 2026 |
| Coconut | Canada | FOB | USD 215.83/MT | June 2026 |
Stay updated with the latest Coconut prices, historical data, and tailored regional analysis
In Q2’26, Coconut prices in Indonesia were ~USD 210.00/MT in April and ~USD 177.00/MT in June, showing a ~15.7% decrease. In India, prices declined from ~USD 2,404.55/MT in April to ~USD 1,634.00/MT in June. The Q2 decline was driven by improved regional availability, increased Indonesian shipments and weaker purchasing urgency. Philippine coconut-oil export volumes declined earlier in the year due to reduced nut availability and lower crushing activity, but additional Indonesian supply eased market pressure later. Raw coconut prices also weakened, indicating that the correction was linked to broader raw-material conditions rather than only processed oil markets. Philippine and Indonesian supply remained influenced by weather conditions, crop recovery and processing capacity. However, buyers avoided large inventory accumulation due to uncertain market direction. Biodiesel-related demand received attention after proposals to increase coconut methyl ester blending, but it did not create immediate enough demand to reverse the Q2 decline. New processing capacity in coconut-producing regions improved copra quality and supply efficiency, adding further availability to the market.
Analyst Insight
According to Procurement Resource, coconut prices are expected to remain influenced by crop conditions, export flows and industrial demand, while weather risks may affect future supply expectations.
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In Q1’26, the coconut prices witnessed a downward trend, especially in India, which accounts for almost 30.37% of the world’s coconut production, owing to export disruptions and oversupply. Global coconut markets entered 2026 with modest production and trade recovery, easing short-term price pressure; however, structural constraints, including aging plantations, limited supply responsiveness, and strong industrial demand, continue to sustain long-term market tightness. Geopolitical instability in West Asia affected critical logistics and transportation routes, increasing the cost of shipping and insurance and hampering the export of coconuts to Gulf nations, thus diverting export volumes to domestic sales and resulting in an oversupply. Arrival of coconuts during the harvesting season further contributed to higher supply despite limited growth in production. Traders also scaled back on purchasing, decreasing demand and driving the drop in prices in major regions like Kerala and Andhra Pradesh. Meanwhile, the policy approach in Q1’26 continued to favour supply improvement, with the Government of India unveiling a Coconut Promotion Scheme in the Union Budget 2026-27 that seeks to enhance productivity through better planting, better seed quality, and improved crop management.
Analyst Insight
According to Procurement Resource, coconut prices are expected to remain under pressure due to continued export constraints and high domestic availability, with recovery dependent on improvement in trade flows.
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Coconut belongs to the family Arecaceae (palm family). The coconut fruit is a drupe comprising a fibrous husk, a hard shell, and white, edible endosperm with coconut water inside. Coconuts are widely cultivated in tropical regions and are used for various purposes, including food, beverages, cosmetics, and industrial applications.
Edward and Sons Trading Company, Mahavir Coconut Industries (MaxCare), Greenville Agro, Hain Celestial Group, Barlean’s Organic Oils LLC, Nutiva, Inc
Cocos nucifera (scientific name)
Food and beverage (coconut oil, milk, water, desiccated coconut, flour, sugar), cosmetics and personal care (skincare, hair care, soaps, lotions, lip balms), pharmaceutical and healthcare (dietary supplements, herbal remedies), biofuel production (biodiesel, industrial lubricants, machinery lubricants), textile (ropes, mats, carpets), construction and building materials (coconut timber).
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