- LPG prices moved mixed in Q2’26, with Asia firmer on import disruption, while Europe softened as demand and crude-linked costs weakened.
- Feedstock pressure came from constrained Middle Eastern LPG availability, longer replacement-cargo routes, and rising U.S. supply support through propane production growth.
- Downstream demand stayed weak in petrochemicals, household cooking gas, city-gas feedstock, and industrial consumption, limiting stronger price momentum.
Asia
In China, the prices of LPG were ~RMB 6.31/kg in April and ~RMB 6.75/kg in the subsequent month. The LPG price curve witnessed a ~7.0% increase in the first two months of Q2’26. The rise was mainly driven by tighter Middle Eastern cargo availability and higher delivered import costs into Asia. Replacement supply from the United States helped reduce shortage risk but longer voyages and constrained export logistics kept landed costs elevated. However, the price increase was capped by weak petrochemical demand, as propane dehydrogenation and steam-cracker users reduced operating rates due to poor margins and feedstock shortages. Indian household and industrial demand also weakened as high import costs affected affordability and availability.
Europe
In Germany, the prices of LPG were ~EUR 0.54/kg in April and ~EUR 0.51/kg in the following month, showing a ~5.2% decrease. European LPG prices softened because local demand was weaker than Asian import-driven pricing pressure. Lower crude-linked sentiment, softer industrial usage, and limited heating demand reduced buying urgency. Europe did not face the same direct Gulf replacement pressure as Asia, so weaker downstream offtake had a clearer impact on prices. Autogas, petrochemical, and commercial demand remained cautious, limiting any pass-through from global supply disruption.
North America
North America remained the main balancing supplier for the global LPG market. EIA reported that U.S. propane production increased by 125,000 barrels per day, or 5%, during 2025, and expected another 4% increase in 2026. EIA also forecast inventories to reach nearly 112 million barrels in October 2026, supporting export availability. Two U.S. Gulf Coast projects were expected to add a combined 660,000 barrels per day of LPG export capacity, improving medium-term supply flexibility.
Analyst Insight
According to Procurement Resource, in the near term, LPG prices may stay sensitive to Middle Eastern shipping flows and Asian import demand. Rising U.S. supply and weak petrochemical demand may cap further gains.