- LPG prices showed a strong upward trend globally in Q1’26, supported by supply disruptions linked to the Iran war and tightening trade flows through the Strait of Hormuz.
- Supply conditions tightened significantly as disruptions to Middle East exports and shipping routes increased costs and reduced availability, which led to price increases.
- Downstream demand remained firm from household consumption and commercial use, while supply prioritization and import dependence supported higher prices.
Asia
In Asia, LPG prices increased sharply due to supply disruptions and strong import dependence. In China, prices were about ~RMB 2.22/kg (Spot FD) in January and around ~RMB 2.63/kg in March, rising by about 18.46%. The increase was driven by reduced inflows from the Middle East following the Iran war and disruption in the Strait of Hormuz, which handles a significant share of global LPG trade, leading to tighter availability and higher costs. In India, LPG prices also increased due to supply-side constraints, with commercial cylinder prices rising following global benchmarks. India consumed about 33.15 million metric tons of LPG annually, with around 60% met through imports and nearly 90% sourced from the Middle East, making it highly exposed to disruptions. India resorted to diversifying its LPG imports toward the US, Norway, Canada, and Russia as Gulf supply routes tighten, while invoking emergency measures to protect household cooking gas supply.
Europe
In Europe, LPG prices increased as reduced Middle Eastern supply and competition from Asia tightened availability. European propane prices surged by around 22% between Friday’s close and Monday morning, in the first week of March, amid escalating Middle East tensions and potential supply disruptions, with gains outpacing crude. Market fears over Strait of Hormuz closures and reduced US LPG flows to Europe further intensified volatility, though demand adjustments in Asia may temper the rally.
North America
In North America, LPG prices remained firm, supported by export demand and global supply disruptions. The region benefited from its strong production base, supplying cargoes to deficit regions such as Asia and Europe. However, rising logistics costs and strong global demand linked to the Iran war and Strait of Hormuz disruptions supported prices despite a relatively balanced domestic supply.