In 2025, Neodymium prices moved higher after several years of weakness. Early in the year the market still felt the effects of oversupply from China, but that changed as the months went on. China continued to control most mining and almost all refining, and its tighter export rules created more caution among buyers. This added a “risk premium,” especially for companies outside China that depended heavily on imported material.
At the same time, demand kept building. Electric vehicles, wind turbines and high-tech equipment all needed strong permanent magnets made from neodymium-based materials. The US and Europe pushed to grow their own supply chains, but progress remained slow. This meant most global buyers still relied on China, even though recycling projects and new processing plants in the US and UK tried to reduce that dependence. Companies like MP Materials increased production, but the industry still struggled because Chinese overproduction earlier in the cycle had pushed prices too low to support new investment.
As 2025 moved forward, the market tightened. Sellers became less willing to offer large volumes, and buyers grew more active as they prepared for stronger demand in coming years. This shift supported a steady upward trend through the second half of the year.