- Global nitric acid prices moved on a softening trajectory in Q1’26, with Asia leading the decline amid ample supply conditions and subdued spot activity, while Western markets remained relatively balanced.
- Feedstock pressure weakened as liquid ammonia prices declined, reducing production costs and eroding price support across key producing regions.
- Downstream demand from fertilizers and chemicals remained stable but not strong enough to absorb excess supply, keeping sentiment largely bearish.
Asia
In China, nitric acid prices declined during Q1’26, with prices at ~1.55 RMB/kg (Spot FD) in January and ~1.48 RMB/kg in March, marking a ~4.17% decrease. The market faced persistent downward pressure due to ample supply availability and stable plant operating rates, which led to oversupply conditions. Additionally, falling liquid ammonia prices weakened cost support, directly impacting nitric acid pricing. Demand from downstream sectors such as ammonium nitrate, dyes, and intermediates remained subdued, with purchases largely order-based and no significant restocking activity observed.
In India, prices followed a similar trend, declining from ~37.85 INR/kg (Spot, 68%) in January to ~36.69 INR/kg in March, reflecting a ~3.07% decrease. The market was influenced by fertilizer sector uncertainties linked to geopolitical disruptions in West Asia, which impacted trade flows, increased freight and insurance risks, and delayed procurement cycles. India’s high dependence on fertilizer imports and LNG for ammonia production further exposed the market to cost-side volatility, while cautious inventory management limited aggressive buying.
Europe
In Europe, nitric acid prices remained relatively stable to soft during Q1’26. The market was balanced by moderate fertilizer demand and steady industrial consumption, particularly from ammonium nitrate and specialty chemicals. However, easing energy and ammonia costs reduced upward pressure, while sufficient regional supply prevented any sharp price increases. Trade flows remained stable, with no major supply disruptions reported.
North America
In North America, prices exhibited a stable to marginally soft trend, supported by consistent demand for fertilizers and explosives. However, adequate domestic production and improved ammonia availability limited price volatility. Downstream demand remained steady, but not strong enough to drive price increases amid balanced supply conditions.