During Q2 2026, Asian tomato paste prices remained under pressure through April and May before recovering toward June as old-crop inventories gradually tightened. China, the region’s dominant processing and export hub, continued to shape market direction as exporters maintained competitive offers to sustain overseas shipments. China exported around 168,737 tons of bulk tomato paste during Q2, with shipment activity improving as buyers across food processing, sauces and packaged-food applications maintained regular procurement. Market sentiment firmed toward the quarter-end as remaining old-crop availability declined and some buyers positioned ahead of the upcoming processing season. However, expectations of substantially higher new-crop supply limited the recovery. China’s 2026 tomato processing volume was forecast at around 5.85 million tonnes, about 19% above 2025, supported by expanded planted acreage. Export demand also remained geographically diversified, helping processors maintain shipment volumes despite intense competition. The combination of improving future supply and adequate current availability prevented sustained upward pressure.
Analyst Insight
According to Procurement Resource, tomato paste prices are expected to remain broadly stable to slightly soft as the larger 2026 crop enters the market, although reduced old-crop inventories could provide temporary support.
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In 2025, tomato paste prices showed a mixed but mostly downward trend due to changes in global trade and supply chains. A major shift happened when Italy, one of the key buyers of Chinese tomato paste, sharply reduced imports. This decision was influenced by consumer pressure, stricter regulations, and support for domestic tomato producers. As a result, Chinese exporters were left with large unsold stocks, creating oversupply in the market and weakening prices. The heavy reliance on a few large buyers exposed the vulnerability of the tomato paste trade, and the sudden drop in demand disrupted global supply chains.
At the same time, trade tensions and tariffs in other tomato-related markets added uncertainty to pricing and demand. Overall, the tomato paste market in 2025 was affected by reduced international demand, rising competition from domestic producers in Europe, and excess supply in major exporting countries, which pushed prices under pressure and created instability in the market.
Tomato paste is basically a thick paste that is prepared by cooking tomatoes for several hours. In appearance, it is a thick red paste. The two significant types of tomato paste are hot break and cold break, which are further used in the production of different end products. Based on the formulation, the paste can serve as a base for preparing either ketchup or reconstituted tomato juice.
Sauces, Pizzas, Soups, Jams
Del Monte Food, Inc, H.J. Heinz Company of Canada LP, KRAFT Foods, Cento Fine Foods, General Mills
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In hot brake process, tomato pulp is heated between 85 to 95 degree Celsius. After this, the pulp undergoes filtration to remove tomato seeds and peels. Finally, the mixture is evaporated to reduce the moisture content and form a thick Tomato Paste.
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Tomato pulp is treated with a temperature around 65 degree Celsius and it is then processed to filter to eliminate the seeds and skin of tomatoes.
This report provides the cost structure of tomato paste from hot break process. Tomato pulp is heated at temperature between 85 degree Celsius to 95 degree Celsius.
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