
PVC prices held firm heading into June 2026, with monthly averages moving up to about $824 per ton as disruption around the Strait of Hormuz raised energy, freight, insurance and feedstock costs. The strength built through the first quarter as the conflict involving Iran lifted the cost of moving cargoes and pushed up petrochemical inputs, and that pressure carried into the early summer. The gains came despite soft construction demand, which shows how much the current market is being driven by cost rather than end-use strength.
Feedstock economics did much of the work. Higher ethylene, calcium carbide, power and logistics costs raised production and delivered-cost pressure across the main producing regions. The partial closure of the Strait of Hormuz added freight and insurance charges that tightened supply and pulled prices higher toward the end of the quarter. A premium for secure energy and chemical supply has started to emerge, and that is likely to keep plastics prices elevated through 2026 as long as the disruption persists.
Demand told a more cautious story. China has become the dominant export engine for PVC, with carbide-based plants turning more toward overseas markets as domestic construction and real estate stay sluggish. Buyers were careful early in the quarter on slow construction demand and ample domestic supply, but sentiment improved from February as downstream purchasers resumed buying and export orders strengthened. That mix of weak local demand and firmer export flows left the market supported without a clear demand-led rally.
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For procurement teams, the read is that landed PVC costs are rising on freight and feedstock even where construction activity is soft. Buyers of pipe, profile, cable and rigid packaging face higher delivered prices that reflect logistics and energy more than resin fundamentals. The outlook points to firm prices while freight, energy and insurance costs stay high, though weak construction demand should limit how far prices climb.
The practical step is to secure near-term supply and review how freight and energy surcharges flow through contracts, since those are the variables moving the market. Buyers exposed to imported PVC should weigh the risk of further Hormuz disruption and consider spreading volume across origins or building modest inventory ahead of any escalation. Tracking ethylene and carbide costs, freight indices and Chinese export volumes gives the clearest early signal on direction. With a security premium emerging for energy and feedstock, PVC buyers should plan around elevated costs through the year rather than expecting a quick return to early-2026 lows.





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