
Udeesha Tomar
AVP - Strategy and Solutions
Leading procurement research solutions across chemicals, materials, and food & beverages, with expertise in price forecasting and market analytics.

Europe's chemical manufacturing sector is confronting what industry leaders describe as a structural crisis, with energy costs persistently running at levels that make production of energy-intensive products increasingly unviable. A report published on May 15, 2026, highlighted that two plants at one of the continent's largest chemical clusters have already closed over the past year, with further shutdowns expected if conditions do not improve. The development carries direct implications for products such as potassium chlorate, which is manufactured through the electrolysis of brine and is among the most energy-sensitive chemical processes.
The core of the problem lies in the persistent gap between European and US energy costs. LyondellBasell, one of the world's largest chemical companies, has indicated that energy costs at its Rotterdam operations are now approximately three times higher than at comparable US facilities. The company has warned that costs could double again if the European Union tightens its emissions trading rules further. Across the broader European chemical industry, plant closures have increased sixfold since 2022, according to Cefic, the European chemical industry association.
For potassium chlorate producers, the situation is particularly acute. The electrolysis process that converts potassium chloride into potassium chlorate is among the most electricity-intensive operations in the inorganic chemicals sector. With industrial electricity prices for energy-intensive industries in the EU averaging more than twice US levels and nearly 50% above Chinese levels in 2025, according to the International Energy Agency, the competitive disadvantage for European potassium chlorate producers has become severe.
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The Middle East conflict that began in February 2026 has added further pressure, pushing Brent crude above $117 per barrel and driving up natural gas and electricity costs across the continent. These cost increases ripple through the entire chlor-alkali value chain, affecting not only potassium chlorate but also caustic soda, chlorine, and sodium chlorate production. Industry analysts note that Asia, particularly China and India, now accounts for over 40% of global potassium chlorate demand and is simultaneously expanding production capacity to fill the gap left by European withdrawals.
For procurement teams sourcing potassium chlorate, the shifting production geography demands a reassessment of supplier portfolios. The growing dependence on Asian supply introduces longer lead times and freight exposure, while residual European production carries increasing price premiums. Monitoring energy policy developments in the EU, including any tightening of emissions trading system allowances, will be essential for forecasting medium-term supply availability and cost trajectories.

AVP - Strategy and Solutions
Leading procurement research solutions across chemicals, materials, and food & beverages, with expertise in price forecasting and market analytics.





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