- Base oil prices increased globally during Q1’26, with Europe witnessing a sharper rise compared to North America, driven by supply disruptions and rising crude-linked costs.
- Feedstock crude oil remained the primary driver, as geopolitical tensions, supply disruptions, and logistics constraints significantly raised production and import costs.
- Downstream demand remained moderate, with lubricant and industrial consumption continuing, though growth was limited due to economic pressures and high prices.
Asia
In Asia, base oil prices followed an upward trend as crude oil costs increased sharply during the quarter. The Iran conflict disrupted tanker routes through the Strait of Hormuz, increasing freight charges and insurance costs, which directly raised feedstock costs for refiners. Asian refiners faced supply constraints due to reduced crude availability and logistical delays, forcing adjustments in sourcing strategies and refinery operations. Demand from lubricants and industrial sectors remained steady, but elevated prices and supply uncertainties limited aggressive procurement, keeping the market firm but controlled.
Europe
In Europe, base oil prices rose significantly from ~0.84 EUR/kg (FD NWE) in January to ~1.21 EUR/kg in March, reflecting a ~42% increase. The rise was driven by higher crude oil prices as disrupted Gulf exports forced European buyers to compete for limited cargoes. Freight rates and insurance premiums increased due to shipping risks, raising import costs. Limited availability of crude and rerouting of LNG shipments further strained energy logistics. Buyers also secured alternative sources and long-term contracts, which tightened spot availability and supported higher base oil pricing despite moderate downstream demand.
North America
In North America, base oil prices increased from ~USD 1,782/MT (FOB Texas) in January to ~USD 1,966/MT in March, marking a ~10.33% rise. The increase was driven by higher crude oil prices, which rose from USD 64/barrel in January to USD 86/barrel in March due to geopolitical tensions and supply risks. Increased freight and insurance costs for Gulf imports added to feedstock expenses, while domestic production adjustments and reliance on strategic stockpiles helped maintain supply balance. Demand from the lubricant and industrial sectors remained stable, supporting price increases.