Electricity Price Trend and Forecast

Regional Price Overview

Get the latest insights on price movement and trend analysis of Electricity in different regions across the world (Asia, Europe, North America, Latin America, and the Middle East & Africa).

For the Second Quarter of 2022

Asia

India’s power demand surged in the upcoming summer months due to the above-average temperature rise. Owing to the steady rise in global energy prices, the price of electricity in India reached an all-time high in March 2022. Hence, the Indian Energy Exchange capped the power price at around 12 INR/kWh as abnormally high prices hamper the customer’s interest, simultaneously decreasing the buyer’s confidence in the market.

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Towards the end of the said quarter, the prices were reduced to 6.49 INR/unit in June 2022 from 6.79 INR/unit because of the increased supply of inputs in the domestic market.

Europe

Europe energy prices hit a new maximum due to the continuing Russia- Ukraine geopolitical stance. With almost every EU member dependent on the valuable black sea cargoes to meet its energy requirement, the prices exploded in the domestic market in the wake of sanctions against Russia.

The German baseload power price averaged 325 EURO/MWh in the said quarter. This situation was exacerbated by the maintenance problems at France’s nuclear power stations, driving the costs of the contracts in France to around 366 EURO/MWh.

North America

In line with the global outlook, the price trend of electricity surged in the domestic arena during the said quarter. Due to the mismatch of supply-demand market dynamics, electricity prices went from 0.151 USD/kWh in April 2022 to 0.160 USD /kWh in June 2022.

For the First Quarter of 2022

Asia

In recent months, a convergence of recovering economic activity, severe weather occurrences, and a series of gas production disruptions has resulted in a considerable increase in global energy market prices. These factors have resulted in an increase in electricity prices in a number of area.

As a result of this, Singapore families' power tariffs were predicted to climb by an average of 5.6% in the January to March quarter, compared to the previous quarter. Without accounting for the Goods and Services Tax (GST), the household tariff is expected to increase from 24.11 cents to 25.44 cents/kWh in the quarter ending March 31, 2022.

Europe

Electric Ireland, Ireland's largest electricity and gas provider, has announced an increase in energy bills, with the average annual electricity bill expected to jump by about 300 EUR. Electricity costs will increase by 23.4% beginning May 1, 2022. On the average domestic electricity bill, the increase will amount to 24.80 EUR/month.

The increase from Electric Ireland comes after Bord Gáis announced hefty pricing hikes earlier in March. The company had postponed the hike as long as they could in the hopes that wholesale costs would fall back to levels seen in early 2021, but this has not happened.

North America

In January 2022, average electricity prices in the United States were 14.29 cents/kWh, approximately 0.94 cents higher than it was in January 2021, representing a 7.5% rise in price over the course of a single year.

For the Fourth Quarter of 2021

Asia

According to figures from the electricity ministry, India's power consumption increased by 4.5% in December to 110.34 billion units (BU). Consumption was 105.62 BU in December 2020, up from 101.08 BU in December 2019.

Peak electricity demand met or maximum supply achieved in a single day increased to 183.39 GW in December 2021, up from 182.78 GW in December 2020 and 170.49 GW in December 2019.

Europe

The European energy crisis had resulted in a dramatic rise in electricity prices, which had been particularly noticeable in Spain. Indeed, the wholesale price of power in the Iberian market in Q4 2021 was more than three times higher than in Q4 2018, the year in which the top electricity prices from 2010 to 2020 were recorded. On the Iberian wholesale market, the price of energy stood at €291.73/(MWh) in December 2021.

North America

The default rates for eight Pennsylvania electric distribution companies increased in December 2021. The increase was particularly noticeable for customers of PPL, which serves a large portion of central and eastern Pennsylvania, including the majority of Cumberland, Dauphin, Lancaster, and Perry counties. Winter electric bills for PPL's 1.4 million customers reflected a 26% rise in price, from 7.544 cents to 9.502 cents/kWh.

For First, Second and Third Quarters of 2021

Asia

As India entered and exited COVID-19 lockdowns, electricity consumption soared and plummeted, well above seasonal peaks and dips. As the economy recovered swiftly, the demand increased dramatically, particularly in late July, resulting in increasing power exchange costs. In August 2021, the electricity price stood at 9.81 Rs/kWh.

Europe

Germany (0.1813 EUR/kWh) and Italy (0.1813 EUR/kWh) had the highest power rates in the first half of 2021 while Finland (EUR 0.0676 per kWh) and Denmark (0.0797 EUR/kWh) had the lowest prices. In the first semester of 2021, the EU average price per kWh was EUR 0.1283.

Over the last 13 years, the weight of taxes has risen by 19.4% points, from 13.8% in the first half of 2008 to 33.2% in the first half of 2021. As a result, the non-household total price, which includes non-recoverable taxes, increased by 32.5% in the first half of 2021, from 0.0968 EUR/kWh in 2008 to 0.1283 EUR/kWh.

North America

In 2021, average wholesale electricity prices at major trading hubs in the United States were higher than in 2020, as rising costs for power producing fuels, particularly natural gas, pushed electricity prices higher. In February 2021, price surges were caused by supply constraints caused by cold weather in the central United States. In the second half of 2021, average energy prices at the Illinois hub in the Midcontinent ISO market were $45/MWh (up 97% from the second half of 2020) and $61/MWh at the SP15 hub in the California CAISO market (a 37% increase).

Latin America

Brazil has been dealing with a significant water shortage. The country suffered the worst water inflow in 91 years between September 2020 and August 2021. The lack of rain had been chronic, particularly in the Southeast and Center-West basins, causing challenges in numerous sectors of the economy, leading to an increase in energy costs. The average electricity tariff for industry in the captive market was 684.77 BRL/MWh in August 2021.

For the Year 2020

Asia

The overall sales price of electricity in China was 0.661, 0.646, 0.629, 0.616, and 0.585 RMB/kWh from 2016 to 2020, accordingly.  The entire sales price showed a declining trend from 2016 to 2020, owing to variables such as power market reform, power supply structure modifications, and policy price reductions.

Europe

As a result of the Covid-19 outbreak, the consequent preventive measures, and the economic downturn, electricity demand in Europe reduced dramatically in 2020. High losses in demand were noted in Italy, Spain, and the United Kingdom, with drops of over 6%, substantially higher than the region's average drop of 4 to 5%. Average industrial electricity prices were 12.55 Euro cents/kWh.

North America

Because of capital expenditures, power rates rose across the country for all sectors (residential, industrial, commercial, and agricultural). However, due to a mix of variables including low natural gas prices and dropping costs of renewable energy, notably wind and solar, customers did not witness significant price hikes.

The nationwide average expected cost of electricity for commercial users in 2020 was 10.62 cents per kilowatt-hour, according to the US Energy Information Administration. This was down from 10.63 cents/kWh in 2019 and 10.67 cents/kWh in 2018.

Latin America

In Argentina, the rates in the industrial sector have been fluctuating in recent years, with a downward trend since 2017, when they reached 77.71 USD/MWh. The price for the industrial sector in 2020 (first quarter) was 52.78 USD/MWh, a 32% increase over 2017.

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