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Written BySiddharth David

Apple and almond prices in India are anticipated to face downward pressure amid supply rerouting of the US imports

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Feb 4, 2026

The ongoing trade dispute between the United States and China is reshaping global trade flows, positioning India as a key destination for redirected goods. This shift is expected to influence the pricing of fresh produce, particularly in certain regions of India where apple production is significant.

With American apples and almonds facing restricted access to Chinese markets, these products are likely to be diverted to India, potentially at competitive prices. This could create challenges for local apple growers in India, who may struggle against the increased availability of imported American produce.

US farmers, seeking alternative buyers, may offer price reductions on almonds, walnuts, and apples to attract Indian importers. The California almond industry, significantly impacted by reduced Chinese demand, could see a notable drop in prices for dry fruits in the Indian market.

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At the same time, the trade conflict may drive up costs for certain imported goods due to indirect market disruptions. As global supply chains adjust, the overall impact on India’s agricultural sector and consumer prices will depend on the extent of trade realignments in the coming months.

About the Author

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Siddharth David

Manager - Market Research

Delivering market research and procurement intelligence at Procurement Resource with a focus on economic forecasting, commodity analysis, and client advisory to help sourcing teams make data-backed purchasing decisions.

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