Corn futures finished Monday's session nearly unchanged, with cash prices edging slightly lower. The market drew support from a USDA-reported private export sale and weekly export inspections above year-ago levels, while traders positioned ahead of the August crop report. Crop conditions were stable, and analysts expect lower yield/production estimates, keeping prices underpinned.
Corn futures and cash prices moved higher on Friday, supported by fresh export sales to Mexico and South Korea and a firmer cash market. USDA weekly export data showed old-crop commitments running well ahead of last year. Brazilian corn exports were also down from a year earlier, adding global supply support.
| Product | Region | Incoterm Basis | Price | Last Updated Month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethanol | China | FOB | USD 832.05/MT | June 2026 |
| Ethanol | India | CIF | USD 698.29/MT | June 2026 |
| Ethanol | USA | FOB | USD 660.29/MT | June 2026 |
| Ethanol | Brazil | FOB | USD 612.57/MT | June 2026 |
| Ethanol | Canada | CIF | USD 744.09/MT | June 2026 |
| Ethanol | China | FOB | USD 848.13/MT | May 2026 |
| Ethanol | India | CIF | USD 915.47/MT | May 2026 |
| Ethanol | USA | FOB | USD 706.64/MT | May 2026 |
| Ethanol | Brazil | FOB | USD 624.72/MT | May 2026 |
| Ethanol | Canada | CIF | USD 767.74/MT | May 2026 |
Stay updated with the latest Ethanol prices, historical data, and tailored regional analysis
Asia
In China, ethanol prices declined from ~USD 855.22/MT in April to ~USD 832.00/MT in June 2026, showing a ~2.7% decrease. Increased outward availability and reduced import dependence weighed on prices. China’s May 2026 unmodified ethanol imports fell 66.46% month-on-month to 8.24 tonnes, while exports surged 1,525.06% to 21,338.54 tonnes, indicating a sharp shift toward external supply. In India, the central government made 20% blending mandatory from April onwards, despite this the prices fell from ~USD 905.11/MT in April to ~USD 698.30/MT in June. Domestic ethanol capacity reached 20 billion liters/year against procurement of only 11–12 billion liters/year for E20, leaving an estimated 8–9 billion liters/year surplus. This excess availability outweighed strong blending growth and pressured prices.
Europe
European ethanol prices remained under pressure from increased import accessibility and concerns over domestic producer competitiveness. The EU-Mercosur trade arrangement opened ethanol import quotas from May 1, 2026, with prorated volumes of 33.333 million kg for general ethanol use and 75.000 million kg for chemical use. Potential E20 adoption provided longer-term demand support, with the transition estimated to add 3.2 billion liters of ethanol demand by 2030 under a conservative scenario. However, increased import access and adequate global supply limited near-term price recovery.
North America
In the United States, ethanol prices decreased from ~USD 692.09/MT in April to ~USD 660.30/MT in June, showing a ~4.6% decline. High production and sufficient inventories outweighed firm mandated blending demand. US fuel ethanol production exceeded 1.09 million barrels/day in late June, keeping supply ample. Corn remained a major feedstock, with ethanol and by-product use projected at 5.575 billion bushels for 2025/26 and 5.600 billion bushels for 2026/27. The renewable fuel mandate remained supportive, with applicable volumes set at 26.81 billion RINs for 2026.
Analyst Insight
According to Procurement Resource, ethanol prices are likely to remain pressured by strong production and surplus capacity, although blending mandates and expanding E20/E85 adoption should provide underlying demand support.
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Asia
Ethanol prices in Asia followed a mixed trend in Q1’26, declining initially due to higher domestic production and weaker transactions, then strengthening toward March as demand improved. Increased output in China and steady grain availability ensured adequate supply early in the quarter, limiting upward movement. Later, improved buying activity and higher freight and energy-linked costs supported recovery. The Iran war and Strait of Hormuz disruption affected Asia indirectly by raising shipping and blending costs rather than restricting ethanol supply directly.
Europe
Ethanol prices in Europe showed a firm trend in Q1’26, supported by fuel blending demand and tighter supply conditions. Rising energy costs linked to geopolitical tensions strengthened ethanol’s competitiveness as a blending component. Import dependency and uncertainty around shipments increased procurement caution, while steady demand from renewable fuel mandates supported consumption. Feedstock from grains and sugar beet remained stable, but higher logistics costs influenced market sentiment.
North America
Ethanol prices in North America remained firm in Q1’26, supported by strong production and steady blending demand. U.S. ethanol production averaged 1.116 million barrels per day in mid-March, reflecting robust output levels and stable supply conditions. Weekly production data also showed fluctuations between 1.093 and 1.116 million barrels per day during March, indicating consistent supply availability. Domestic demand remained supported by blending requirements, while exports and shipping conditions were influenced by higher freight costs following Middle East disruptions.
Ethanol is a clear, colourless liquid with an ethyl group joined to a hydroxyl group. It is commonly consumed as a recreational drug across the globe. Due to its bactericidal activity, Ethanol is also utilised as a topical disinfectant. Further, it is a significant substance that is used across several manufacturing industries and serves as an alternative for fuel source.
C2H6O
Fuel/biofuel, Synthesis of organic chemicals, Automotive gasoline, Astringent, Preservative, Hand sanitisers and disinfectants, Alcoholic beverages, Feedstock, Solvent, Antidote, Pharmaceuticals
64-17-5, Ethyl Alcohol, Grain Alcohol, Absolute alcohol, Alcohol, Ethyl hydroxide, Ethylol
Archer Daniels Midland Company, Cargill, Incorporated, CHS Inc, POET, LLC, BP Plc, The Andersons Inc.
CurrencyUS$ (Data can also be provided in local currency)
Supplier Database AvailabilityYes
Customization ScopeThe report can be customized as per the requirements of the customer
Post-Sale Analyst Support360-degree analyst support after report delivery
Note: Our supplier search experts can assist your procurement teams in compiling and validating a list of suppliers indicating they have products, services, and capabilities that meet your company's needs.
Ethanol production via fermentation involves the use of crops that are rich in starch, such as, sugar cane, corn, maize, etc. In this process, a certain species of yeast like Saccharomyces cerevisiae is cultured under favourable conditions, which metabolises sugar to produce Ethanol and carbon dioxide. It is further distilled to obtain higher concentration of the product.
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This report shows the cost structure of ethanol production through the hydration process or the synthetic route.
This report shows the cost structure of ethanol production through the fermentation process using carbohydrates rich crops like sugar cane, rice, maize etc.
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