- Methanol prices weakened in Q2 2026 as early shipping risk support faded and buyers delayed procurement once Middle Eastern cargo availability improved.
- Feedstock pressure stayed mixed, with stable coal availability limiting domestic cost pressure, while gas and freight uncertainty supported replacement costs.
- Downstream demand remained cautious across methanol-to-olefins, formaldehyde, acetic acid, dimethyl ether, construction materials, and chemical intermediates.
Asia
In China, the prices of Methanol were ~RMB 3.32/kg in April and ~RMB 3.16/kg in May, showing a ~4.7% decrease. Prices remained supported early in Q2 by low foreign arrivals, port destocking, plant maintenance, and uncertainty around Middle Eastern shipments. However, the market corrected later as Iranian plants resumed production, buyers expected additional cargo arrivals, and derivative users delayed purchases. China produced 400 million tonnes of raw coal in May, down 1.7% year-on-year, while January-May output reached 1.98 billion tonnes, down 0.3%, keeping coal-based methanol cost pressure contained. Demand stayed weak as methanol-to-olefins buyers remained cautious and formaldehyde use was affected by China’s property slowdown, with real-estate investment down 16.2% year-on-year during January-May.
Europe
European methanol prices were cost-supported but demand-capped during Q2’26. Freight and supply-route disruptions lifted replacement costs, while energy uncertainty kept producers cautious. However, sufficient regional availability and weak derivative consumption prevented a sustained increase. Euro-area industrial production rose only 0.3% year-on-year in April, while durable consumer-goods output declined 4.0%, limiting demand from formaldehyde, engineering plastics, coatings, and automotive-linked chemicals. Construction also remained uneven, as total output improved but building construction declined 5.2%, reducing methanol-linked demand from wood panels, resins, insulation, and adhesives.
North America
In the United States, the prices of Methanol were ~USD 592.74/MT in April and ~USD 586.35/MT in May, showing a ~1.1% decrease. U.S. prices carried less supply premium than Asia because domestic natural gas access supported regional production. EIA forecast industrial gas consumption to reach around 22.6 Bcf/d in June 2026, helping contain manufacturing costs. Demand remained moderate, with manufacturing output unchanged in May and housing starts down 15.4% month-on-month, weakening formaldehyde-based construction applications.
Analyst Insight
According to Procurement Resource, methanol prices may stay under pressure as Middle Eastern supply normalizes. Weak construction and chemical demand may cap recovery, while freight and energy risks can limit sharper declines.